Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutSection 3.0 - Market and Feasibility Study CHA SECTION 3.0 Project Reports Gutchess Park CHA Project No. 31591 June 2017 Market & Feasibility Advisors Final Report Gutchess Lumber Park/Sports Complex Market and Feasibility Study Submitted to: Town of Cortlandville Cortland County, NY Submitted by: Market & Feasibility Advisors Thursday, October 06, 2016 MFA Project Number: 595 One South Dearborn, Suite 2100 Chicago IL 60603 312.212.4451 www.mfallc.com Chicago Austin mfa Table of Contents Table of Contents 2 Introduction and Summary 4 Introduction 4 Market Summary 5 Financial Summary 6 Economic Impact Summary 6 Market Demographics 7 Findings 8 Drive Time Market Demographics 10 Primary/60-Minute Drive Time Market 10 Population 10 Ethnicity&Education 11 Household Income & Spending 13 Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate 15 Secondary/60-120 Minute Drive Time Market 16 Population 16 Ethnicity&Education 17 Household Income & Spending 19 Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate 21 Tertiary/120-240 Minute Drive Time Market(Tournament Market) 22 Population 22 Ethnicity&Education 23 Household Income & Spending 25 Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate 27 Market Potential/Sports Participation 28 Sports Participation Trends 28 Demand Potential by Sports Participation 29 Frequent Participants 32 Frequent Participants by Age Group 35 Findings 38 Comparable Benchmark Sport Complex Facilities 40 Maryland SoccerPlex &Discovery Sports Center 42 New England Baseball Complex 42 The Dome:Adirondack Sports Complex 43 In The Net 43 United Sports 44 Baseball Heaven 44 Pinnacle Athletic Center 45 Conclusion 45 Existing Local Competitive Sport Complexes 47 J.M. McDonald Sports Complex 49 SUNY Cortland Athletic Fields 49 Crown City Little League(Testa Park) 50 Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center 51 Champions For Life Sports Center 51 Carmelo K Anthony Center 52 Syracuse Indoor Sports Center 52 Central NY Family Sport Center 53 Hopkins Road Softball Park 53 Willis Carrier Recreation Center 53 Sport Center 481 54 Murray Athletic Center 55 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 2 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Conclusions 55 Financials 56 Year 3 Assumptions 56 Financial Pro forma 58 Construction Cost Estimate 59 Economic and Fiscal Impact Assessment 60 Introduction 60 Methodology 60 Impacts on Local Economy: One-Time and Ongoing 60 Selected Definitions Related to Impact 62 Cortlandville, Cortland County, NY, Economic & Fiscal Impacts 63 Construction Impact Assessment 63 Tax Revenues 64 Visitation/Event Attendee Impacts 64 Tax Revenues 64 Operations Impacts 64 Tax Revenues 65 Marketing Strategy and Funding Options 66 Marketing Strategy 66 Funding Options 66 Public Funding Options 66 Private Funding Options 68 Appendix 71 National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Student&Team Participation 71 New York State Public High School Athletic Association (NYSPHSAA) 77 About Market& Feasibility Advisors 78 General Limiting Conditions 79 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 3 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Introduction and Summary Introduction The Town of Cortlandville proposes to build a sports complex along Route 13 south near the Tompkins County line. The complex would consist of eight (8) multi-use fields (soccer, football, and lacrosse) and four(4) baseball fields. Four (4) of the multi-use fields and two (2) of the baseball fields are proposed to be artificial turf fields, which would extend the season and could be used more often than comparable grass fields. The site for this potential development is conveniently located off Route 13, just south of the State University of New York (SUNY) at Cortland and the city of Cortland. It will also be the site of a new public park that will be replacing Citizens Park, copying and improving its amenities and adding more quality of life for the local population. Additions proposed are multi-use trails, picnic shelters and an adventure playground. Other important features are the link to the existing adjacent recreational facilities and businesses, The Lime Hollow Center for Environment and Culture, the Elm Tree Golf Course, the Shipwreck Mini-Golf Amusement Center, and the Byrne Dairy manufacturing/tourism center. Cortland is located directly off Interstate 81, a north-south thoroughfare that connects Cortland to Canada in the north and large metro areas like Philadelphia, Baltimore, Newark and New York to the south and southeast. The New York State Thruway, Interstate 90, passes just a few miles to the north, connecting Cortland conveniently to all cities along this important corridor and to the New England metro areas. There are three (4) airports within a two-hour drive: • Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, (ITH)—'/z hour • Syracuse Hancock International Airport, (SYR)—45 minutes • Greater Binghamton Airport—1 hour • Greater Rochester International Airport (ROC)—2 hours The Ithaca, Syracuse, and Rochester airports are serviced by all major US airlines. United Express, US Airways, and Delta Airlines service the Binghamton airport. MFAs findings and interviews suggest that there is a major shortage in outdoor fields in Cortland County. The principal draw of the site for teams and parents is its central location, its easy accessibility and the proximity (within six hours) to major East Coast markets, most importantly New York to the east and Buffalo to the west. Furthermore, the facility as planned offers superior quality compared with the competition. The area around the site is a convenient package of hotels, dining, retail, and entertainment for families and teams to engage in during their trips to tournaments. The County offers a strong transportation infrastructure that makes it easily accessible, more than 35 lodging properties and 2,750 hotel rooms within 25 miles around the project site, and possesses a number of civic, cultural, recreational and entertainment assets Together, these characteristics create ideal conditions for hosting large scale tournaments. Market analysis findings indicate that Cortland presents a unique opportunity for developing an outdoor sports complex due to the local demographic profile, geographic location, and ideal market conditions (demand) for a sports complex that would extend the season into spring and fall by including artificial turf fields. MFA believes that a sustainable operational model could be developed based on local weekday use and a number of weekend tournaments. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 4 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The proposed seasonal approach is as follows: During the spring season (mid-March to end of May), the site would host mainly training and practice events using its artificial turf fields with the possibility of a tournament in late May. In the summer, for 12 consecutive weeks starting the first week of June and ending the last week of August, the facility could host weekend tournaments for youth baseball, soccer, lacrosse and football. Each event would bring in 20-160 teams per tournament (depending on the type of sport, age group and competition level), with the teams being at the facility beginning play as early as Friday afternoon and ending play on Sunday afternoon. During the fall season, the sports center complex would continue to host tournaments and leagues. On a larger scale, the Cortland Regional Sports Council could invite youth baseball, lacrosse and soccer teams from local school districts, throughout New York and its neighboring states to participate in weekend tournaments or host National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or the New York State Public High School Athletic Association (NYSPHSAA) events. Building on SUNY Cortland's excellent reputation for sports the site could organize and host exposition/showcase tournaments, a platform for teams and players to present their skills to college and pro-team scouts and coaches. A key difference between the subject outdoor facility and its local competitors is the synthetic turf. This material will be low maintenance and, if the weather cooperates in the winter months, the field conditions should be playable. Studies show that the turf can last from 10 to 15 years with minimal maintenance. Benefits of the development would be twofold: a recreation and social center for the local population enhancing quality of life and the creation of economic benefits for the town, city, and county by bringing more visitors to the area. Market Summary The market area encompasses a 4-hour drive time around Cortland and boasts 500,000 avid baseball, soccer, lacrosse and football participants to which the facility will cater. Avid participants are active 50+ days in their respective sport per year. The core market for the facility are age groups 24 years and younger. These young athletes are organized in leagues, high school and college teams. The market area was home to an estimated 24,550 of those teams in 2015. The proposed complex aims to draw as many athletes and teams as some of the well-known east coast tournament destination venues do. We believe it has a chance to become one of the premier outdoor sports destination venues due to its location and market access. It can achieve that because: • It would offer a premium product: a 6-field all turf (four all-purpose, two baseball) and 6-field all grass (four all purpose and two baseball) facility with lighting that can consistently be the best playing venue in the region and the one with the longest season; • It would offer state-of-the-art amenities: locker rooms, on-site concessions, bleachers, play grounds and picnic pavilions; • The location is easily accessible, offering ample parking and close to a package of hotels, restaurants and shopping; • The greater Cortland and Finger Lakes region provides additional cultural, entertainment, shopping and recreational opportunities, and Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 5 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa • The site itself has expansion potential and additional amenities potential (mini-golf, golf, trails nature center)—the product can get even better if needed Financial Summary Based on local demand, tournament market share, expenses and revenue of comparable facilities, the financial proforma is projecting for year 3 of operations(year of stabilized operation): • annual facility revenues of$1.75 million • operational expenses of$1.31 million • earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of$450,000, • 3,000 hours of field rental, • 10 tournaments per year at the venue, • plus sponsorship and concessions revenue of$773,000 and • a tournament visitation of 37,000 For financial details and the full proforma please refer to the financial section of the report. Economic Impact Summary The fiscal and economic impact on Cortland would be considerable in: • Short-term construction benefits—41 jobs supported with $1.8 million in income and $3.4 million in economic activity, creating $223,000 in state and local tax benefits • Long-term operation and visitation benefits— 102 jobs supported, with an annual income of$2.4 million and $7.3 million in economic activity creating $770,000 in state and local tax benefits Table 1.: Impact Summary Impact Employment Labor Local&State Economic Income Tax Revenue Activity One-Time Construction Impact 41 _ $1,795,369 $222,882 $3,352,000 Annual Reoccuring Visitor Impact 93 _ $2,233,772 $712,501 $6,652,971 Annual Reoccuring Operations Impact 9 $205,631 $54,751 $661,387 Annual Reoccuring Impacts Total 102 , $2,439,403 $767,252 $7,314,358 Other Tax Revenue TBD e.g. Municipal Utility,Telecommunication Taxes 10-Year Operations/Visitation 102 $24,394,030 $7,672,520 $73,143,580 Source:IMPLAN, MFA,BLS Notes: • The assessment assumes that all goods and services will be purchased in the impact area given that the demanded economic sector is present. Thus, the model does not account for competition in the marketplace. For example, a service will be acquired in the impact area even though it might be cheaper outside of it. This means that the assessment reflects the maximum impact based on the current local economy. • The 10-year reoccurring operations &visitation impact shown in the table above does not account for inflation or changes in tax legislation. • Operation and Visitation impacts are based on Year 3 of operations. Year 3 of operations is considered the year of stabilized operations. Use and demand for the facility is likely to increase further beyond year three thus the annual impacts will too. The 10-year impact estimate is based on an unchanged year three impact, therefore the number is a conservative estimate. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 6 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Market Demographics MFA analyzed the demographic composition of a 4-Hour Drive Time Market around the project site in order to characterize the demand for the proposed outdoor sports complex of the subject project. For purposes of this analysis, MFA established three market areas used to determine demand for the outdoor sports complex. The trade area is composed of three markets as defined below. The map "Sports Center Complex, Cortland, New York"that follows, illustrates the location of each of the market areas and is located in this section following the findings. 1. Primary Market 0—60 minute drive time from the project site 2. Secondary Market 60— 120 minute drive time from the project site 3. Tertiary Market 120—240 minute drive time from the project site This segmentation allows for better demand projections for the proposed development. For example, the primary market is expected to be the core market with the highest market share and repeat visitations, secondary and tertiary markets are expected to be the source of demand for the weekend and holiday, and tournament visitations. The following analysis draws from the Arc View application of ESRI's Business Analyst®. This national model generates data by linking information such as demographics with specific locations or areas. The data is updated continually using the benchmarks in the model that the software maker tracks, and it is allocated geographically. MFA applies this Geographic Information System (GIS) by defining a specific geographic area to which the program provides aggregated information. Table 2.Cortland,NY Outdoor Sports Complex Market Area Demographics Summary Indicator/Market Area Primary Secondary Tertiary Population 2015 956,234 1,768,655 21,885,230 Households 2015 385,815 710,097 8,367,485 Families 2015 231,677 450,402 5,412,862 Average Household Size 2015 2.35 2.38 2.53 Owner Households 2015 244,397 481,810 4,916,309 Renter Households 2015 141,418 228,287 3,451,176 Median Age 2015 39.0 41.4 39.2 Population Annual Growth 2015-2020 0.07% 0.10% 0.38% Households Annual Growth 2015-2020 0.13% 0.17% 0.41% Families Annual Growth 2015-2020 0.06% 0.09% 0.35% Owner HHs Annual Growth 2015-2020 -0.03% 0.05% 0.28% Median Household Income Annual Growth 2015- 2020 2.05% 1.97% 2.99% All Households with Children 2010 28.9% 29.6% 32.4% Median Household Income 2015 $52,432 $50,451 $58,635 Average Household Income 2015 $69,556 $65,409 $85,907 Per Capita Income 2015 $28,701 $26,704 $33,176 Median Disposable Income 2015 $40,994 $39,471 $47,078 Average Disposable Income 2015 $52,945 $50,633 $63,622 Entertainment/Recreation Spending Average per HH $592 $524 $764 Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 7 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Findings • Annual population growth rates are below state and national levels in all three markets. Growth in the primary market is only marginal. The tertiary market, that includes the east coast metro area, has the highest growth rates of the three, which can be attributed to the market location.. On a national level, the southern parts have the highest population growth rates while the northern parts of the country show only small population growth or even a slight decline. • The tertiary market has the highest percentage of households with children present of all three market areas. • The tertiary market also has the highest average household income of all three market areas, again due to the metro areas where a larger number of high income households can be found • In all three market areas rate of growth in the number of households exceeds the rate of growth in population, this reflects the trend especially observed in metro areas to a higher number of smaller one or two person households • The tertiary market is the most ethnically diverse market; in all three markets white is the dominant ethnicity. • In all three markets the median age of the White/Caucasian population is by far the oldest (40+ years). Hispanics are the youngest (low to upper 20's) followed by the African American population (upper 20's and low 30's). This could have implications in terms of what type of sports will grow the most in the future. • Spending per household, per year, for entertainment and recreation in the primary and secondary market is roughly% compared to the tertiary market reflecting the difference in income/disposable income and the higher cost of living in the tertiary markets metro areas. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 8 www.mfallt.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY /_- mfa Sports Center Complex, Cortland, New York mfa 60/120/240 Minute Drive Time Markets iii4- lea A `TiWhrd fwertenaye F4nm P. lave2 rninute4 .! a.,., a..,...... r ---; 1 ,rOwen ‘..C\ Oni, .;••, r- p.n. a .. .. arystEi Y.nO.M.r i ..-- Vaughl t) X Tara cnlo • •. 1 o«.a r<tcn.n. o rnnlr Cortlland,New York -' ' ..•. / Y . Concerti r Si E}J ),,,e/ ••••••..... / sawr:d,.x,w foatmeal a Nri t of 60 minutes i �.. °^ taennswma,_„ �, �, E.dbid Jai Swan r, c 4111 i 120 minutes r " : r- ja10. ...... —...— „.„, „p m,lisy!vvn ' Real.q Una ` tl�x Jr— I an I o0...r w- '.i I . .4,, ird tt, X > ~ _—---.... `ad m o'°"° W Seurat Esn / minim Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 9 www.mfalic.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Drive Time Market Demographics Primary/60-Minute Drive Time Market Population Between 2015 and 2020, the total population is projected to grow marginally by 0.07% per year. The number of households is also projected to grow at a slightly higher rate by 0.13% per year between 2015 and 2020 indicating a trend more towards single households. The following table summarizes the key demographics in the 60 Minute Drive Time Market(Primary Market). The median age in 2015 is 39 years, compared to the U.S. median age of 38. Table 3. Demographics Overview Indicator 2010 2015 2020 CAGR 2015-2020 Population 956,668 956,234 959,577 0.07% Households 382,361 385,815 388,363 0.13% Families 230,886 231,677 232,397 0.06% Average Household Size 2.37 2.35 2.34 Owner Households 246,553 244,397 243,973 -0.03% Renter Households 135,808 141,418 144,390 0.42% Median Age 38.2 39.0 39.5 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 The trend to an older population becomes apparent in the decline of the number of children and young adults 25 years and younger in the market area through 2020 and the increase in number in the older age brackets, while the total population only grows marginal. Table 4. Demographics by Age Group Age Group 2010 2015 2020 0-4 52,387 49,233 48,505 5-9 54,833 51,955 49,727 10 14 � 59,059 54,897 54,129 15- 19 79,525 73,457 71,266 20-24 85,712 89,443 82,466 25-34 113,211 119,380 122,568 35-44 112,797 103,270 108,191 45-54 144,073 130,016 113,304 55-64 117,805 130,750 133,320 65-74 68,023 84,767 101,134 75-84 46,590 45,037 50,950 22,653 24,029 24,017 Total 956,668 956,234 959,577 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Age brackets market red are estimated to shrink while age brackets marked green are estimated to grow between 2015 and 2020. Fields market blue show the largest age bracket in their respective years. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 10 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The primary market population is growing at a lower percentage compared to New York State and the rate of the U.S population as a whole is estimated to grow. All other indicators for the primary market, while positive except Home Owner Households, are below the growth rates of New York State. Table 5. Demographics Trend Comparison Annual Growth 2015-2020 Indicator 0-60 Minute Market _ New York State US Population 0.07% 0.42% 0.75% Households 0.13% 0.46% 0.77% Families 0.06% 0.39% 0.69% Owner HHs -0.03% _ 0.19% 0.70% Median Household Income 2.05% 2.84% 2.66% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Ethnicity & Education The following table details the distribution of the main ethnicities by age group in the primary market (0-60 Minute Drive Time), Table 6. Population by Ethnicity&Age Group in 2015 Total Population Hispanic Caucasian African American # % # % # % # Total 956,234 100.0% 40,312 100.0% 801,935 100.0% 73,788 100.0% 0-4 49,233 5.1% 4,184 10.4% 36,045 4.5% 5,757 7.8% 5-9 51,955 5.4% 3,742 9.3% 39,117 4.9% 5,994 8.1% 10- 14 54,897 5.7% 3,435 8.5% 42,586 5.3% 5,962 8.1% 15- 19 73,457 7.7% 5,240 13.0% 56,436 7.0% 7,436 10.1% 20-24 89,443 9.4% 5,793 14.4% 67,875 8.5% 8,102 11.0% 25-29 119,380 12.5% 3,168 7.9% 48,928 6.1% 5,651 7.7% 30-34 103,270 10.8% 3,008 7.5% 46,262 5.8% 5,465 7.4% 35-39 130,016 13.6% 2,331 5.8% 41,420 5.2% 4,326 5.9% 40-44 130,750 13.7% 1,988 4.9% 45,075 5.6% 4,269 5.8% 45-49 84,767 8.9% 1,827 4.5% 52,514 6.5% 4,338 5.9% 50-54 45,037 4.7% 1,556 3.9% 62,335 7.8% 4,394 6.0% 55-59 24,029 2.5% 1,307 3.2% 63,796 8.0% 3,733 5.1% 60-64 49,233 5.1% 927 2.3% 55,219 _ 6.9% 2,910 3.9% 65-69 51,955 5.4% 726 1.8% 45,751 5.7% 2,154 2.9% 70-74 54,897 5.7% 427 1.1% 32,579 4.1% 1,504 2.0% 75-79 73,457 7.7% 251 0.6% 23,598 2.9% 829 1.1% 80-84 89,443 9.4% 206 0.5% 19,121 2.4% 519 0.7% 85+ 119,380 12.5% 196 0.5% 23,278 2.9% 445 0.6% Median Age 39.0 23.1 42.5 28.2 Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census,2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA While the overall population is becoming older, the 0-30 year age brackets of the Hispanic and African- American groups have the largest share of that population. This is also evident when comparing the median age of each of the ethnicities. Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 11 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Persons of Hispanic origin represent 4% of the population in 2015 compared to 17.6% of the U.S. population. This percentage is estimated to increase to 5% by 2020. Table 7.Population by Ethnicity Ethnicity 2010 2015 2020 Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent White Alone 815,895 85.3% 801,935 83.9% 790,677 82.4% Black Alone 69,716 7.3% 73,788 7.7% 78,286 8.2% American Indian Alone 5,157 0.5% 5,429 0.6% 5,659 0.6% Asian Alone 31,447 _ 3.3% 35,500 3.7% 39,992 4.2% Pacific Islander Alone 330 0.0% 405 0.0% 462 0.0% Some Other Race Alone 9,736 _ 1.0% 11,335 1.2% 12,864 1.3% Two or More Races 24,387 2.5% 27,842 2.9% 31,637 3.3% Total 956,668 956,234 959,577 Hispanic Origin(Any Race) 33,985 ' 3.6% 40,312 4.2% 47,391 4.9% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA Table 8. 2015 Population Age 25+by Educational Attainment Education/Market 0-60 Minute Drive Time Market Total 637,249 Less than 9th Grade 2.8% 9th-12th Grade, No Diploma 6.7% High School Graduate 23.8% GED/Alternative Credential 4.8% Some College, No Degree 17.6% Associate Degree 12.0% Bachelor's Degree 17.5% Graduate/Professional Degree 14.9% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA The table above shows that the primary market population is well educated - roughly 45% carry an Associate Degree or a higher level of education. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 12 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The following table shows that in only 29% (110,500) of all households children are present. Roughly 65% of all households are one or two person. Both indicate a trend towards smaller households without children. Table 9.2010 Households by Type&Size Total Households 382,361 Households with 1 Person 30.9% 118,150 Households with 2+People 69.1% 264,211 Family Households 60.4% 230,946 Husband-wife Families 43.5% 166,327 With Related Children 17.5% 66,913 Other Family(No Spouse Present) 16.9% 64,619 Other Family with Male Householder 4.6% 17,589 With Related Children 2.7% 10,324 Other Family with Female Householder 12.3% 47,030 With Related Children 8.2% 31,354 Nonfamily Households 8.7% 33,265 An Households with Children 28.9% I 110,502 1 Person Household 30.9% 118,150 2 Person Household 33.8% 129,238 3 Person Household 15.5% 59,266 4 Person Household 11.9% 45,501 5 Person Household 5.0% 19,118 6 Person Household 1.8% 6,882 7+Person Household 1.1% 4,206 Source:U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Household Income&Spending The distribution of households by income shows that the majority, 51 percent of households, are in the mid to upper income bracket. The number of households with an income up to $49,999 is estimated to decline over the next 5 years. The number of middle class households is to estimated grow by 2 percent, while the share of high income household is estimated to grow by 3 percent. The numbers do not account for inflation or increased cost of living. The following table shows the distribution of households in the market area in three main income brackets. Table 10. Household Income-Summary Income Brackets Households by Income Disposable Income 2015 2020 2015 <$15,000-$49,999 47.3% 42.7% 58.9% $50,000-$99,999 31.8% 33.5% 30.2% $100,000> 20.8% 23.7% 10.9% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2014 and 2019 Roughly 59% of all households have a disposable income of less than $50,000. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 13 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Median disposable household income in 2015 is estimated at $41,000 and the average disposable household income is $53,000. Table 11. Household Income-Summary Year 2015 2020 Median Household Income $52,432 $58,020 Average Household Income $69,556 $78,352 Per Capita Income $28,701 $32,359 Median Disposable HH Income $40,994 Average Disposable HH Income $52,945 Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, MFA The following two tables show household budget spending in categories demonstrating the market potential for recreation and retail categories. The spending potential index (SPI) compares the likelihood of a household spending money in a certain category to the national average of 100. In all categories the spending is slightly below or at the national average. The top three categories for household budget expenditures and three project significant household budget categories are highlighted. Table 12. Household Spending-Budget Spending Average Spent per Total HH Item HH Spending Percent of Total SPI Total Expenditures $67,018.55 $25,856,760,419 100.0% 93 Food $7,959.24 $3,070,793,164 11.9% 94 Food at Home $4,914.71 $1,896,170,579 7.3% 94 Food Away from Home $3,044.52 $1,174,622,586 4.5% 93 Alcoholic Beverages $515.65 $198,946,267 0.8% 93 Housing $19,988.32 $7,711,794,643 29.8% 93 Shelter $15,162.00 $5,849,726,191 22.6% 92 Utilities, Fuel and Public Services $4,826.32 $1,862,068,452 7.2% 95 Household Operations $1,685.29 $650,210,904 2.5% 91 Housekeeping Supplies $675.79 $260,731,492 1.0% 94 Household Furnishings and Equipment $1,719.57 $663,436,472 2.6% 93 Apparel and Services $2,136.19 $824,173,610 3.2% 92 Transportation $9,982.66 $3,851,461,008 14.9% 95 $1,779.43 ir. $686,530,541 2.7% 91 Health Care $4,537.81 $1,750,753,465 6.8% 96 Entertainment and Recreation $3,086.45 $1,190,800,590 4.6% 93 Personal Care Products&Services $723.88 $279,283,395 1.1% 92 Education $1,418.32 $547,209,975 2.1% 93 Smoking Products $466.67 $180,048,988 0.7% 100 Miscellaneous $1,099.84 $424,335,351 1.6% 95 Support Payments/Cash Contribution/Gifts in Kind $2,335.07 $900,904,724 3.5% 93 Life/Other Insurance $431.03 $166,299,422 0.6% 93 Pensions and Social Security $6,477.32 $2,499,046,408 9.7% 91 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 14 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 13.Household Spending-Recreation Item Average Spent per HH Total HH Spending SPI Entertainment/Recreation Fees and Admissions Total $591.89 $228,361,716 92 Admission to Movies, Theater, Opera, Ballet $149.13 $57,535,327 90 Admission to Sporting Events, excl. Trips $64.41 $24,850,987 97 Fees for Participant Sports, excl. Trips $109.75 $42,344,794 91 Fees for Recreational Lessons $108.96 $42,037,140 89 Membership Fees for Social/Recreation/Civic Clubs $159.03 $61,354,756 93 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics,MFA Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate The Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate is based on the socio-economic characteristics of households in the market area and their tendencies to use various products and services. While this approach estimates sports activity participation, it also estimates potential event (e.g. competition, concert) attendance. However it covers adults only—age 18 and above. The table indicates that participation in activities related to the project in the primary market are above the national average, especially"Attending High School Sports Events"with only three exceptions. Activity Number of Adults/HHs Percent MPI Participated in baseball in last 12 months 32,240 4.2% 94 Participated in basketball in last 12 months 65,084 8.5% 102 Participated in bicycling(mountain)in last 12 months 33,012 10.6% 108 Participated in bicycling(road)in last 12 months 80,971 5.2% 103 Participated in football in last 12 months 39,661 5.2% 113 Participated in jogging/running in last 12 months 103,317 2.8% 98 Participated in skiing(downhill)in last 12 months 21,528 3.4% 91 Participated in soccer in last 12 months 26,170 3.8% 111 Participated in softball in last 12 months 29,164 30.0% 107 Participated in walking for exercise in last 12 months 229,704 5.3% 114 Attend sports events:high school sports 40,308 5.3% 114 Source:GfK MRI,MFA An MPI (Market Potential Index) measures the relative likelihood of the adults or households in the specified trade area to exhibit certain consumer behavior or purchasing patterns compared to the U.S. An MPI of 100 represents the U.S. average. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 15 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Secondary/60-120 Minute Drive Time Market Population Between 2015 and 2020, the total population is projected to grow marginally by 0.10% per year. The number of households is also projected to grow at a slightly higher rate of 0.17% per year between 2015 and 2020 indicating a trend towards single households. The following table summarizes the key demographics in the 60 -120 Minute Drive Time Market (Secondary Market). The median age in 2015 is 41.4 years compared to U.S. median age of 38. Table 15. Demographics Overview Indicator 2010 2015 2020 CAGR 2015-2020 Population 1,761,095 1,768,655 1,777,176 0.10% Households 700,175 710,097 715,983 0.17% Families 446,810 450,402 452,468 0.09% Average Household Size 2.40 2.38 2.37 Owner Households 484,508 481,810 483,072 0.05% Renter Households 215,666 228,287 232,911 0.40% Median Age 40.5 41.4 42.2 Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020 The trend to an older population becomes apparent in the decline of the number of children and young adults 25 years and younger in the market area through 2020 and the increase in the number in the older age brackets, while the total population only grows marginally. Table 16. Demographics by Age Group Age Group 2010 2015 2020 0-4 99,085 94,196 91,608 5 9 102,745 98,443 94,785 10- 14 109,649 102,469 103,310 15 19 Anailawramanam132,124 118,847 116,942 20-24 . 126,282 132,120 116,411 25-34 198,415 214,858 219,151 35-44 217,868 197,325 201,501 45-54 271,556 249,879 220,485 55-64 229,921 252,008 2 ' 65-74 140,478 174,601 204,341 75-84 90,462 88,569 103,408 85+ 42,517 45,340 45,420 Total 1,761,095 1,768,655 1,777,176 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Age brackets marked in red are estimated to shrink while age brackets marked green are estimated to grow between 2015 and 2020. Fields marked blue show the largest age bracket in their respective years. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 16 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The secondary market population is growing at a much lower percentage compared to New York State and the U.S population as a whole is estimated grow. All other indicators for the secondary market, while positive, are at or below the growth rates of New York State. Table 17. Demographics Trend Comparison Annual Growth 2015-2020 Indicator Secondary Market New York State US Population 0.10% 0.42% 0.75% Households 0.17% 0.46% 0.77% Families 0.09% 0.39% 0.69% Owner HHs 0.05% 0.19% 0.70% Median Household Income 1.97% 2.84% 2.66% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census, 2010 Census,ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Ethnicity & Education The following table details the distribution of the main ethnicities by age group in the secondary market (60-120 Minute Drive Time). Table 18. Population by Ethnicity&Age Group in 2015 Total Population Hispanic Caucasian African American ## % #t % ## % # % Total 1,768,655 100.0% 80,410 100.0% 1,583,776 100.0% 79,249 100.0% 0-4 94,196 5.3% 9,089 11.3% 77,460 4.9% 5,640 7.1% 5-9 98,443 5.6% 8,096 10.1% 82,397 5.2% 5,625 7.1% 10- 14 102,469 5.8% 7,058 8.8% 87,436 5.5% 5,658 7.1% 15-19 118,847 6.7% 8,095 10.1% 101,437 6.4% 7,585 9.6% 20-24 132,120 7.5% 9,196 11.4% 111,858 7.1% 9,091 11.5% 25-29 214,858 12.1% 7,217 9.0% 94,985 6.0% 6,868 8.7% 30-34 197,325 11.2% 6,476 8.1% 89,782 5.7% 6,246 7.9% 35-39 249,879 14.1% 5,016 6.2% 82,045 5.2% 5,240 6.6% 40-44 252,008 14.2% 4,450 5.5% 92,590 5.8% 5,218 6.6% 45-49 174,601 9.9% 3,851 4.8% 106,155 6.7% 4,950 6.2% 50-54 88,569 5.0% 3,386 4.2% 123,471 7.8% 4,840 6.1% 55-59 45,340 2.6% 2,746 3.4% 125,802 7.9% 3,757 4.7% 60-64 94,196 5.3% 1,899 2.4% 111,696 7.1% 2,860 3.6% 65-69 98,443 5.6% 1,608 2.0% 96,816 6.1% 2,323 2.9% 70-74 102,469 5.8% 913 1.1% 69,716 4.4% 1,414 1.8% 75-79 118,847 6.7% 599 0.7% 48,827 3.1% 902 1.1% 80-84 132,120 7.5% 373 0.5% 36,891 2.3% 540 0.7% 85+ 214,858 12.1% 342 0.4% 44,412 2.8% 492 0.6% Median Age 41.4 24.3 43.5 29.4 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census, 2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA While the overall population is becoming older, the 0-30 year age brackets of the Hispanic and African- American groups have the largest share of that population. This is also evident when comparing the median age of each of the ethnicities. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 17 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Persons of Hispanic origin represent 4.5% of the population in 2015 compared to 17.6% of the U.S. population. This percentage is estimated to increase to 5.5% by 2020. Table 19. Population by Ethnicity Ethnicity 2010 2015 2020 Number Percent Number Percent Number ' Percent White Alone 1,601,926 91.0% 1,583,776 89.5% 1,566,588 88.2% Black Alone 71,888 4.1% 79,249 4.5% 85,939 4.8% American Indian Alone 4,859 0.3% 5,656 0.3% 6,278 0.4% Asian Alone 30,751 1.7% 36,825 2.1% 43,964 2.5% Pacific Islander Alone 612 0.0% 816 0.0% 1,010 0.1% Some Other Race Alone 19,591 1.1% 24,830 1.4% 29,980 1.7% Two or More Races 31,448 1.8% 37,503 2.1% 43,417 2.4% Total 1,761,095 1,768,655 1,777,176 Hispanic Origin(Any Race) 63,365 3.6% 80,410 4.5% 97,508 5.5% Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA Table 20.2015 Population Age 25+by Educational Attainment Education/Market 60-120 Minute Drive Time Market Total 1,222,580 Less than 9th Grade 3.4% 9th-12th Grade, No Diploma 7.1% High School Graduate 28.6% GED/Alternative Credential 5.3% Some College, No Degree 17.5% Associate Degree 11.2% Bachelor's Degree 15.4% Graduate/Professional Degree 11.5% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census, 2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA The table above shows that the primary market population is well educated, 38 percent carry an Associate Degree or a higher level of education. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 18 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The following table shows that in 30% (207,000) of all households children are present. Almost 65% of all households are one or two person households. Table 21.2010 Households by Type&Size Total Households 700,167 Households with 1 Person 29.1% 203,749 Households with 2+People 70.9% 496,418 Family Households 63.9% 447,407 Husband-wife Families 47.5% 332,579 With Related Children 18.7% 130,931 Other Family(No Spouse Present) 16.3% 114,127 Other Family with Male Householder 4.9% 34,308 With Related Children 2.9% 20,305 Other Family with Female Householder 11.4% 79,819 With Related Children 7.4% 51,812 Nonfamily Households 7.1% 49,712 All Households with Odfdren 29.6% 207,249 1 Person Household 29.1% 203,749 2 Person Household 34.9% 244,358 3 Person Household 15.6% 109,226 4 Person Household 12.3% 86,121 5 Person Household 5.2% 36,409 6 Person Household 1.8% 12,603 7+Person Household 1.0% 7,002 Source:U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Household Income& Spending The distribution of households by income shows that half of all households are in the mid to upper income bracket. The number of households with an income up to $50,000 is estimated to decline over the next 5 years, while the number of middle class and high-income households is estimated to grow by 2.5 percent over the same period. The numbers do not account for inflation or increased cost of living. The following table shows the distribution of households in the market area into three main income brackets. Table 22. Household Income-Summary Income Brackets Households by Income Disposable Income 2015 2020 2015 <$15,000-$49,999 49.5% 44.3% 60.9% $50,000-$99,999 32.4% 35.0% 29.7% $100,000> 18.2% 20.7% 9.3% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2014 and 2019 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 19 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Roughly, 61% of all households have a disposable income of less than $50,000. Median disposable household income in 2015 was estimated at $40,000 and the average disposable household income was $50,633. Table 23. Household Income-Summary Year 2015 2020 Median Household Income $50,451 $55,618 Average Household Income $65,409 $73,862 Per Capita Income $26,704 $30,207 Median Disposable HH Income $39,471 Average Disposable HH Income $50,633 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census, 2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, MFA The following two tables show household/budget spending in categories demonstrating the market potential for recreation and retail categories. The spending potential index (SPI) compares the likelihood of a household spending money in a certain category to the national average of 100. In most categories the spending is significantly below the national average. The top three categories for household budget expenditures and three project significant household budget categories are highlighted. Table 24. Household Spending-Budget Spending Average Spent per Total HH Item HH Spending Percent of Total SPI Total Expenditures $63,045.88 $44,768,687,070 100.0% 88 Food $7,537.27 $5,352,194,290 12.0% 89 Food at Home $4,698.66 $3,336,501,260 7.5% 90 Food Away from Home $2,838.62 $2,015,693,030 4.5% 86 Alcoholic Beverages $464.51 $329,847,553 0.7% 84 Housing $18,376.80 $13,049,313,918 29.1% 85 Shelter $13,722.37 $9,744,215,781 21.8% 83 Utilities, Fuel and Public Services $4,654.43 $3,305,098,137 7.4% 92 Household Operations $1,565.42 $1,111,602,276 2.5% 85 Housekeeping Supplies $656.20 $465,963,127 1.0% 91 Household Furnishings and Equipment $1,630.13 $1,157,548,281 2.6% 89 Apparel and Services $1,980.61 $1,406,425,023 3.1% 86 Transportation $9,618.25 $6,829,892,392 15.3% 91 Travel $1,646.83 $1,169,407,310 2.6% 84 Health Care $4,444.66 $3,156,141,444 7.0% 94 Entertainment and Recreation $2,944.65 $2,090,989,296 4.7% 89 Personal Care Products&Services $675.88 $479,938,078 1.1% 86 Education $1,228.85 $872,604,379 1.9% 81 Smoking Products $470.32 $333,969,421 0.7% 101 Miscellaneous $1,085.59 $770,872,419 1.7% 93 Support Payments/Cash Contribution/Gifts in Kind $2,248.86 $1,596,908,547 3.6% 90 Life/Other Insurance $426.95 $303,174,517 0.7% 92 Pensions and Social Security $6,044.10 $4,291,894,799 9.6% 85 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 20 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 25. Household Spending-Recreation Item Average Spent per HH Total HH Spending SPI Entertainment/Recreation Fees and Admissions $523.58 $371,792,236 81 Admission to Movies, Theater, Opera, Ballet $132.34 $93,976,845 80 Admission to Sporting Events,excl. Trips $58.33 $41,417,734 88 Fees for Participant Sports, excl. Trips $96.30 $68,382,084 80 Fees for Recreational Lessons $95.81 $68,037,181 78 Membership Fees for Social/Recreation/Civic Clubs $140.27 $99,605,914 82 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics, MFA Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate The Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate is based on the socio-economic characteristics of households in the market area and their inclinations to use various products and services. While this approach estimates sports activity participation, it also estimates potential event (e.g. competition, concert) attendance. However it covers adults only—age 18 and above. The table shows that participation in activities related to the project in the secondary market are above the national average, especially"Attending High School Sports Events"with only three exceptions. Table 26. Demand Potential for Selected Activities 2015 Activity Number of Adults/HHs Percent MPI Participated in baseball in last 12 months 59,898 4.2% 95 Participated in basketball in last 12 months 113,400 8.0% 97 Participated in bicycling(mountain)in last 12 months 52,231 3.7% 92 Participated in bicycling(road)in last 12 months 137,244 9.7% 99 Participated in football in last 12 months 67,386 4.8% 95 Participated in jogging/running in last 12 months 148,766 10.5% 83 Participated in skiing(downhill)in last 12 months 35,014 2.5% 87 Participated in soccer in last 12 months 40,797 2.9% 77 Participated in softball in last 12 months 51,284 3.6% 106 Participated in walking for exercise in last 12 months 402,032 28.5% 102 Attend sports events: high school sports 76,990 5.5% 118 Source:GfK MRI, MFA An MPI (Market Potential Index) measures the relative likelihood of the adults or households in the specified trade area to exhibit certain consumer behavior or purchasing patterns compared to the U.S. An MPI of 100 represents the U.S. average. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 21 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Tertiary/120-240 Minute Drive Time Market (Tournament Market) Population Between 2015 and 2020 the total population is projected to grow by 0.38% per year. The number of households is also projected to grow at a slightly higher rate by 0.41% per year between 2015 and 2020 indicating a trend towards more single households. The following table summarizes the key demographics in the 120-240 Minute Drive Time Market (Tertiary Market). The median age in 2015 was 39.2 years, compared to U.S. median age of 38. Table 27.Demographics Overview Indicator 2010 2015 2020 CAGR 2015-2020 Population 21,550,074 21,885,230 22,302,730 0.38% Households 8,204,879 8,367,485 8,540,761 0.41% Families 5,338,203 5,412,862 5,506,970 0.35% Average Household Size 2.54 2.53 2.53 Owner Households 4,954,200 4,916,309 4,984,362 0.28% Renter Households 3,250,693 3,451,176 3,556,399 0.60% Median Age 38.4 39.2 39.9 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 The trend to an older population becomes apparent in the decline of the number of children and young adults 25 years and younger in the market area through 2020 as well as the increase in number in the older age brackets, while the total population only reflects minimal growth. Table 28. Demographics by Age Group Age Group 2010 2015 2020 0-4 1,298,355 1,239,924 1,242,508 5-9 ' 1,335,327 1,314,183 1,245,847 10 14 '" 1,391,083 1,373,138 1,352,654 15- 19 1,542,313 1,447,198 1,415,235 20-24 ''. 1,501,655 1,566,174 1,415,466 25-34 2,766,582 2,883,477 3,031,732 35-44 2,907,479 2,715,405 2,826,963 45-54 3 -'i, �,i,;.'i(i 2,870,013 55-64 2,589,429 2,897,405 :,i 65-74 1,507,360 1,880,516 2,224,267 75-84 978,282 977,171 1,130,264 85+ 445,022 489,329 508,647 Total 21,550,074 21,885,230 22,302,730 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Age brackets marked in red are estimated to shrink while age brackets marked in green are estimated to grow between 2015 and 2020. The fields marked blue show the largest age bracket in their respective years. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 22 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The tertiary market population is growing at a slightly lower percentage compared to New York State and only about 1/2 of the rate, the U.S population as a whole is estimated grow. All other indicators for the tertiary market, while positive, are at or below the growth rates of New York State except for homeowner households and median household income. Table 29. Demographics Trend Comparison Annual Growth 2015-2020 Indicator Tertiary Market New York State US Population 0.38% 0.42% 0.75% Households 0.41% 0.46% 0.77% Families 0.35% 0.39% 0.69% Owner HHs 0.28% 0.19% 0.70% Median Household Income 2.99% 2.84% 2.66% Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census,2010 Census, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020 Ethnicity & Education The following table details the distribution of the main ethnicities by age group in the tertiary market (120- 240 Minute Drive Time). Table 30. Population by Ethnicity&Age Group in 2015 Total Population Hispanic Caucasian African American Total 21,885,230 100.0% 3,853,101 100.0% 14,955,061 100.0% 3,258,841 100.0% 0-4 1,239,924 5.7% 326,499 8.5% 717,914 4.8% 218,898 6.7% 5-9 1,314,183 6.0% 319,636 8.3% 785,279 5.3% 230,377 7.1% 10-14 1,373,138 6.3% 305,037 7.9% 856,028 5.7% 236,774 7.3% 15-19 1,447,198 6.6% 307,541 8.0% 915,945 6.1% 254,011 7.8% 20-24 1,566,174 7.2% 342,365 8.9% 983,536 6.6% 268,167 8.2% 25-29 2,883,477 13.2% 325,600 8.5% 894,080 6.0% 231,149 7.1% 30-34 2,715,405 12.4% 324,081 8.4% 888,080 5.9% 222,800 6.8% 35-39 3,101,310 14.2% 284,529 7.4% 825,475 5.5% 209,951 6.4% 40-44 2,897,405 13.2% 259,472 6.7% 924,109 6.2% 216,543 6.6% 45-49 1,880,516 8.6% 235,965 6.1% 1,036,590 6.9% 222,228 6.8% 50-54 977,171 4.5% 214,401 5.6% 1,186,996 7.9% 223,291 6.9% 55-59 489,329 2.2% 181,206 4.7% 1,192,553 8.0% 200,239 6.1% 60-64 1,239,924 5.7% 140,489 3.6% 1,024,220 6.8% 161,979 5.0% 65-69 1,314,183 6.0% 108,810 2.8% 863,392 5.8% 130,277 4.0% 70-74 1,373,138 6.3% 74,513 1.9% 619,456 4.1% 91,227 2.8% 75-79 1,447,198 6.6% 48,681 1.3% 452,184 3.0% 61,280 1.9% 80-84 1,566,174 7.2% 29,017 0.8% 359,709 2.4% 39,775 1.2% 85+ 2,883,477 13.2% 25,259 0.7% 429,515 2.9% 39,875 1.2% Median Age 39.2 30.0 43.3 34.3 Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA While the overall population is becoming older, the 0-30 year age brackets of the Hispanic and African- American groups have the largest share of that population. This is also evident when comparing the median age of each of the ethnicities. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 23 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Persons of Hispanic origin represent 18% of the population in 2015 compared to 17.6% of the U.S. population. This percentage is estimated to increase to 19.5% by 2020. Table 31. Population by Ethnicity Ethnicity 2010 2015 2020 Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent White Alone 15,131,723 70.2% 14,955,061 68.3% 14,814,297 66.4% Black Alone 3,172,536 14.7% 3,258,841 14.9% 3,359,056 15.1% American Indian Alone 91,863 0.4% 96,844 0.4% 104,232 0.5% Asian Alone 1,181,790 5.5% 1,347,507 6.2% 1,541,544 6.9% Pacific Islander Alone 8,149 0.0% 9,348 0.0% 10,308 0.0% Some Other Race Alone 1,378,594 6.4% 1,548,523 7.1% 1,718,670 7.7% Two or More Races 585,328 2.7% 669,106 3.1% 754,623 3.4% Total 21,550,074 21,885,230 22,302,730 Hispanic Origin(Any Race) 3,414,224 15.8% 3,853,101 17.6% 4,344,210 19.5% Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2010,ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA Table 32. 2015 Population Age 25+by Educational Attainment Education/Market 120-240 Minute Drive Time Market Total 14,944,613 Less than 9th Grade 5.4% 9th-12th Grade, No Diploma 6.9% High School Graduate 25.5% GED/Alternative Credential 3.5% Some College, No Degree 16.3% Associate Degree 7.6% Bachelor's Degree 20.1% Graduate/Professional Degree 14.5% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census, 2010, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, MFA The table above shows that 42 percent of the tertiary market population attained an Associate Degree or higher level of education. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 24 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The following table shows that in 32% (2.7 million) of all households children are present. About 59% of all households are one or two person households, which is not uncommon for a market with several large metro areas. Table 33.2010 Households by Type&Size Total Households 8,204,910 Households with 1 Person 28.2% 2,313,785 Households with 2+People 71.8% 5,891,125 Family Households 65.1% 5,341,396 Husband-wife Families 46.0% 3,774,259 With Related Children 20.7% 1,698,416 Other Family(No Spouse Present) 19.1% 1,567,138 Other Family with Male Householder 4.8% 393,836 With Related Children 2.5% 205,123 Other Family with Female Householder 14.2% 1,165,097 With Related Children 8.9% 730,237 Nonfamily Households 6.7% 549,729 All Hotisehaltil wti 616in 32.4% 1 Person Household 28.2% 2,313,785 2 Person Household 31.1% 2,551,727 3 Person Household 16.5% 1,353,810 4 Person Household 13.8% 1,132,278 5 Person Household 8.3% 681,008 6 Person Household 2.4% 196,918 7+Person Household 1.7% 139,483 Source:U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Household Income &Spending The distribution of households by income shows that more than half of all households are in the mid to upper income bracket. The number of households with an income up to $49,999 is estimated to decline over the next 5 years. The number of middle class is estimated to grow by slightly less than 1 percent, while high income households is estimated to grow by just over 4 percent over the same period of time. The numbers do not account for inflation or increased cost of living. The following table shows the distribution of households in the market area into three main income brackets. Table 34. Household Income-Summary Income Brackets Households by Income Disposable Income 2015 2020 2015 <$15,000-$49,999 42.9% 37.6% 52.2% $50,000-$99,999 28.7% 29.5% 29.2% $100,000> 28.4% 32.9% 18.6% Source:U.S.Bureau of the Census,2010 Census, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2014 and 2019 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 25 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa More than 50% of all households have a disposable income of less than $50,000. The median disposable household income in 2015 was estimated at $47,000 and the average disposable household income was $64,000. Table 35. Household Income-Summary Year 2015 2020 Median Household Income $58,635 $67,929 Average Household Income $85,907 $97,853 Per Capita Income $33,176 $37,804 Median Disposable HH Income $47,078 Average Disposable HH Income $63,622 Source:U.S. Bureau of the Census,2010 Census, ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,MFA The following two tables show household budget spending in categories demonstrating the market potential for recreation and retail categories. The spending potential index (SPI) compares the likelihood of a household spending money in a certain category to the national average of 100. In most categories the spending is significantly below the national average. The top three categories for household budget expenditures and three significant project household budget categories are highlighted. Table 36. Household Spending-Budget Spending Average Spent per Total HH Item HH Spending Percent of Total SPI Total Expenditures $82,593.45 $691,099,483,912 100.0% 115 Food $9,766.83 $81,723,771,961 11.8% 115 Food at Home $5,994.68 $50,160,377,037 7.3% 115 Food Away from Home $3,772.15 $31,563,394,924 4.6% 115 Alcoholic Beverages $655.36 $5,483,750,873 0.8% 118 Housing $25,383.96 $212,399,929,534 30.7% 118 Shelter $19,690.00 $164,755,751,458 23.8% 120 Utilities, Fuel and Public Services $5,693.97 $47,644,178,076 6.9% 113 Household Operations $2,148.28 $17,975,701,680 2.6% 117 Housekeeping Supplies $811.64 $6,791,358,307 1.0% 112 Household Furnishings and Equipment $2,057.72 $17,217,981,214 2.5% 112 Apparel and Services $2,680.12 $22,425,883,216 3.2% 116 Transportation $11,715.45 $98,028,833,844 14.2% 111 Travel $2,250.95 $18,834,777,488 2.7% 115 Health Care $5,298.30 $44,333,481,720 6.4% 112 Entertainment and Recreation $3,761.30 $31,472,604,117 4.6% 114 Personal Care Products&Services $889.51 $7,442,931,287 1.1% 114 Education $1,920.94 $16,073,408,209 2.3% 126 Smoking Products $523.05 $4,376,620,419 0.6% 112 Miscellaneous $1,330.23 $11,130,678,068 1.6% 114 Support Payments/Cash Contribution/Gifts in Kind $2,830.29 $23,682,373,834 3.4% 113 Life/Other Insurance $502.18 $4,201,990,108 0.6% 109 Pensions and Social Security $8,067.35 $67,503,408,032 9.8% 114 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics, MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 26 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 37. Household Spending-Recreation Item Average Spent per HH Total HH Spending SPI Entertainment/Recreation Fees and Admissions $763.64 $6,389,720,868 118 Admission to Movies, Theater, Opera, Ballet $196.48 $1,644,015,250 119 Admission to Sporting Events,excl. Trips $76.69 $641,696,021 115 Fees for Participant Sports, excl. Trips $137.70 $1,152,188,685 114 Fees for Recreational Lessons $152.39 $1,275,120,170 124 Membership Fees for Social/Recreation/Civic Clubs $199.67 $1,670,741,274 116 Source:2011 and 2012 Consumer Expenditure Surveys,Bureau of Labor Statistics,MFA Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate The Demand Potential by Propensity to Participate is based on the socio-economic characteristics of households in the market area and their propensities to use various products and services. While this approach evaluates sports activity participation, it also estimates potential event (e.g. competition, concert) attendance. However it covers adults only—age 18 and above. The table shows that participation in activities related to the project in the tertiary market are above the national average, with only three exceptions. Table 38.Demand Potential for Selected Activities 2015 Activity Number of Adults/HHs Percent MPI Participated in baseball in last 12 months 753,231 4.4% 98 Participated in basketball in last 12 months 1,426,250 8.3% 100 Participated in bicycling(mountain)in last 12 months 706,386 4.1% 103 Participated in bicycling(road)in last 12 months 1,804,526 10.5% 107 Participated in football in last 12 months 844,258 4.9% 98 Participated in jogging/running in last 12 months 786,652 4.6% 100 Participated in skiing(downhill)in last 12 months 2,323,223 13.6% 106 Participated in soccer in last 12 months 551,711 3.2% 112 Participated in softball in last 12 months 693,094 4.0% 107 Participated in walking for exercise in last 12 months 579,018 3.4% 99 Attend sports events: high school sports 4,917,179 28.7% 102 Source:GfK MRI,MFA An MPI (Market Potential Index) measures the relative likelihood of the adults or households in the specified trade area to exhibit certain consumer behavior or purchasing patterns compared to the U.S. An MPI of 100 represents the U.S. average. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 27 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Market Potential/Sports Participation Sports Participation Trends The following summarizes important general sports participation trends in the US with relevance to the Cortland County market. • Team sports are an early life activity, research shows that participation in team sports starts early and ends early in terms of age for most participants. Participation peaks at age 13 and declines by 50 percent once they reach age 18. This represents a combination of factors including lack of programs and facilities available outside of the high school setting, social interests, work and school demands. • Organized team sports continue to be the main driver of sports participation. Casual play continues to decline sharply as a percentage of total play. Casual play has a larger percentage of play only in basketball, touch & flag football, volleyball and ice hockey. All of these activities with the exception of ice hockey are more socially oriented versions of the game. • With overall team sports participation down and all organized leagues claiming participation is increasing, it implies that casual play continues to decline; and the trend to specialization in a specific, organized sport raises the frequency of participation in organized play. Team sports participation has consolidated among the most serious players. • Growth in team sports for the last five years has come predominantly from women entering team sports in larger numbers though we continue to see men are 40 percent more likely to play team sports than the general population and women 40 percent less likely to play team sports than the population as a whole. Traditional team sports generally showed declines highlighting the lack of opportunity and resources in a tough economy and some cutbacks in schools. However, the smaller and more "niche" team sports such as lacrosse, ice hockey and fast pitch softball, driven by increased participation of women, fueled strong increases. • Team sports income demographics do not skew as high as the income levels by household for fitness activities. Highest income levels are in lacrosse and ice hockey, sports that tend to be equipment intensive and centered in upscale demographic market areas. • Core participation rates for mainstream team sports declined marginally, a trend that repeats itself in major team activities. However, "niche" sports such as lacrosse, rugby and ice hockey continue to show strong growth at core participation levels. We believe the decline in core participation is a result of the economic downturn and specialization in sports. Core participants are made up of those defined as frequent and regular participants. This group contains people most likely to buy equipment&services and pay user fees related to the sport or activity. Since 1981-82, football has had the most participants of any men's sport, and in 2014-15, that trend continues with football having more than twice as many participants as the second sport, baseball. The next highest participation levels for men are in the sports of indoor and outdoor track and field, soccer, basketball and cross-country, respectively. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 28 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Demand Potential by Sports Participation To estimate the market potential for the proposed venue, MFA applied regional sports participation rates to the market area population. This approach measures the number of individuals seven years of age or older who participated in each of a number of different sports in the previous year, based on a questionnaire. The National Sporting Goods Association (NSGA) and the Sports and Fitness Industry Association (SFIA) publish annual surveys on sports participation in the United States. Participation rates for selected activities are available by region, age group (age 7+), frequency, gender and other variables. These rates have been applied to the market area demographics to estimate the demand potential for the development. Detailed Market Participation Potential by Market Area The first step is to apply the participation rates to the market area population. The National Sporting Goods Association (NSGA) provides participation rates for age groups 7 years and older. The assumption is that at a younger age the shift between different sports activities is too great to capture any useful participation rates. The following tables show the detailed participation potential (demand) in selected sports based on demographics and participation rates for several key sports that would be found on a fully developed site for the three market areas. Table 39. Market Potential-Primary Market Sport NSGA Participation Rate Population/Participants 2015 2020 Change Population 7+Years of Age 886,505 891,422 4,917 Team Sports Baseball 4.9% 43,439 43,680 241 Football 1.6% 14,184 14,263 79 Lacrosse 1.5% 13,298 13,371 74 Soccer 5.6% 49,644 49,920 275 Individual Sports Bicycle Riding 14.1% 124,997 125,691 693 Exercise Walking 33.6% 297,866 299,518 1,652 Running/Jogging 14.0% 124,111 124,799 688 Source:ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020, NSGA,MFA Table 40. Market Potential-Secondary Market Sport NSGA Participation Rate Population/Participants 2015 2020 Change Population 7+Years of Age 1,635,650 1,648,303 12,653 Team Sports Baseball 4.9% 80,147 80,767 620 Football 1.6% _ 26,170 26,373 202 Lacrosse 1.5% 24,535 24,725 190 Soccer 5.6% 91,596 92,305 709 Individual Sports Bicycle Riding 14.1% 230,627 232,411 1,784 Exercise Walking 33.6% 549,578 553,830 4,251 Running/Jogging 14.0% 228,991 230,762 1,771 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 29 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 30 www.mfalic.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 41. Market Potential—Tertiary Market Sport NSGA Participation Rate Population/Participants 2015 2020 Change Population 7+Years of Age 20,125,103 20,565,577 440,474 Team Sports Baseball 4.9% 986,130 1,007,713 21,583 Football 1.6% 322,002 329,049 7,048 Lacrosse 1.5% 301,877 308,484 6,607 Soccer 5.6% 1,127,006 1,151,672 24,667 Individual Sports Bicycle Riding 14.1% 2,837,640 2,899,746 62,107 Exercise Walking 33.6% 6,762,035 6,910,034 147,999 Running/Jogging 14.0% 2,817,514 2,879,181 61,666 Source:ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020,NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 31 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Frequent Participants To estimate demand realistically, MFA estimated the number of participants with the highest participation percentage frequency for each selected sport. This shows estimates that are more conservative and includes participants who are likely to participate in a specific sport/activity over a longer period, who take part in tournaments and are willing to travel longer distances to events. Such participants represent the core market demand. The following tables show the detailed participation potential (demand) in selected sports based on demographics and participation rates for avid participants — 50+ days per year for team sports and 110+ days for individual sports in each market area. Table 42.Core Market Potential—Primary Market Frequent Participants Sport/Activity 2015 2020 Change Baseball Total 43,439 43,680 241 Frequent 7,906 7,950 44 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Football Total 14,184 14,263 79 Frequent 2,681 2,696 15 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.9% Lacrosse Total 13,298 13,371 74 Frequent 2,420 2,434 13 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Soccer Total 56,892 57,208 316 Frequent 17,276 17,372 96 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.4% Bicycle Riding Total 124,997 125,691 693 Frequent 12,000 12,066 67 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 9.6% Exercise Walking Total 297,866 299,518 1,652 Frequent 91,445 91,952 507 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.7% Running/Jogging Total 124,111 124,799 688 Frequent 26,560 26,707 147 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 21.4% Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 32 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 43.Core Market Potential-Secondary Market Frequent Participants Sport/Activity 2015 2020 Change Baseball Total 80,147 80,767 620 Frequent 14,587 14,700 113 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Football Total 26,170 26,373 202 Frequent 4,946 4,984 38 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.9% Lacrosse Total 24,535 24,725 190 Frequent 4,465 4,500 35 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Soccer Total 104,969 105,781 812 Frequent 31,876 32,122 247 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.4% Bicycle Riding Total 230,627 232,411 1,784 Frequent 22,140 22,311 171 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 9.6% Exercise Walking Total 549,578 553,830 4,251 Frequent 168,721 170,026 1,305 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.7% Running/Jogging Total 228,991 230,762 1,771 Frequent 49,004 49,383 379 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 21.4% Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 33 www.mfallc_com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland, NY mfa Table 44.Core Market Potential-Tertiary Market Frequent Participants Sport/Activity 2015 2020 Change Baseball Total 986,130 1,007,713 21,583 Frequent 179,476 183,404 3,928 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Football Total 322,002 329,049 7,048 Frequent 60,858 62,190 1,332 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.9% Lacrosse Total 301,877 308,484 6,607 Frequent 54,942 56,144 1,202 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 18.2% Soccer Total 1,291,549 1,319,816 28,268 Frequent 392,198 400,782 8,584 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.4% Bicycle Riding Total 2,837,640 2,899,746 62,107 Frequent 272,413 278,376 5,962 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 9.6% Exercise Walking Total 6,762,035 6,910,034 147,999 Frequent 2,075,945 2,121,380 45,436 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 30.7% Running/Jogging Total 2,817,514 2,879,181 61,666 Frequent 602,948 616,145 13,197 Percent Frequent Participants of Total 21.4% Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, NSGA,MFA Soccer has the highest frequent participation rate of the team sports. This is significant in terms of where to direct future marketing efforts and what use on the multi-purpose field will be one most in demand, for example. Exercise Walking has the highest frequent participation rate of individual sports suggested for the proposed site. However, this has significance only for the primary/local market since this activity will be part of the site's designation as a public park and will not be part of the financial assessment that follows in this report Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 34 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Frequent Participants by Age Group The proposed outdoor sports center will cater mainly to young athletes, organized in leagues, high school or college teams. To account for that, and to further refine the market potential, MFA applied participation by age groups and the average number of team players per team for each of the four teams sports to be played at the proposed facility. The following tables summarizes the results for each market area and show a refined market potential Table 45.Core Market Potential—Primary Market by Age Group&Number of Teams Baseball 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 7 906 7 950 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 23.5% 1,858 1,868 25 74 12-17 21.9% 1,731 1,741 25 69 18-24 9.8% 775 779 25 31 Total 4,364 4,388 25 175 Football 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 2 681 2 696 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 19.0% 509 512 40 13 12-17 39.8% 1,067 1,073 40 27 18-24 18.1% 485 488 40 12 Total 2,062 2,073 40 52 Lacrosse 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 2 420 2 434 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 11.6% 281 282 15 19 12-17 42.9% 1,038 1,044 15 69 18-24 14.9% 361 363 15 24 Total 1,680 1,689 15 112 Soccer 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 17 276 17 372 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 29.5% 5,096 5,125 18 283 12-17 21.0% 3,628 3,648 18 202 18-24 14.4% 2,488 2,502 18 138 Total 11,212 11,274 18 623 Source:ESRI B/S forecasts for 2015 and 2020, NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 35 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 46.Core Market Potential—Secondary Market by Age Group&Number of Teams Baseball 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 14 587 14 700 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 23.5% 3,428 3,454 25 137 12-17 21.9% 3,194 3,219 25 128 18-24 9.8% 1,429 1,441 25 57 Total 8,052 8,114 25 322 Football 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 4 946 4 984 Avg.Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 19.0% 940 947 40 23 12-17 39.8% 1,969 1,984 40 49 18-24 18.1% 895 902 40 22 Total 3,804 3,833 40 95 Lacrosse 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 4 465 4 500 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 11.6% 518 522 15 35 12-17 42.9% 1,916 1,930 15 128 18-24 14.9% 665 670 15 44 Total 3,099 3,123 15 207 Soccer 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants 31,876 32,122 Players per Team Teams 7-11 29.5% 9,403 9,476 18 522 12-17 21.0% 6,694 6,746 18 372 18-24 14.4% 4,590 4,626 18 255 Total 20,687 20,847 18 1,149 Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020, NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 36 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 47.Core Market Potential-Tertiary Market by Age Group&Number of Teams Baseball 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants 179,476 183,404 Players per Team Teams 7-11 23.5% 42,177 43,100 25 1,687 12-17 21.9% 39,305 40,165 25 1,572 18-24 9.8% 17,589 17,974 25 704 Total 99,071 101,239 25 3,963 Football 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 60 858 62 190 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 19.0% 11,563 11,816 40 289 12-17 39.8% 24,222 24,752 40 606 18-24 18.1% 11,015 11,256 40 275 Total 46,800 47,824 40 1,170 Lacrosse 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent 54 942 56 144 Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants Players per Team Teams 7-11 11.6% 6,373 6,513 15 425 12-17 42.9% 23,570 24,086 15 1,571 18-24 14.9% 8,186 8,365 15 546 Total 38,129 38,964 15 2,542 Soccer 2015 2020 2015 Teams Total Frequent Avg. Number of Number of Age Group Participants 392,198 400,782 Players per Team Teams 7-11 29.5% 115,698 118,231 18 6,428 12-17 21.0% 82,362 84,164 18 4,576 18-24 14.4% 56,477 57,713 18 3,138 Total 254,537 260,107 18 14,141 Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,NSGA,MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 37 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Findings • Participation changes by age group and sport differently The following chart shows that participation in baseball and soccer peaks in the 7-11 age group while lacrosse and football participation peaks in the 12-17 range. This is helpful when it comes to marketing and branding efforts. The rapid rise and decline in football and lacrosse also indicates a shorter interest span in these sports, while soccer and baseball, even while declining, show a much steadier pattern, an indication for a continual market and demand for facilities. Participation Change with Age 50.0% 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% ` 20.0% • "�.. • 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 7-11 12-17 18-24 --Baseball • Football — —Lacrncce Soccer • The majority of frequent participants are in the age groups ranging from 7 to 24 years. ➢ Baseball 55.2% of all frequent participants ➢ Football 76.9% of all frequent participants • Lacrosse 69.4% of all frequent participants • Soccer 64.9% of all frequent participants Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 38 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The following table summarizes the market potential for the proposed sports complex in Cortland, NY. Table 48.SummaryCore Market Potential-Participants&Number of Teams by Sport Primary Market Sport 2015 2020 2015 Teams Baseball 4,364 4,388 175 Football 2,062 2,073 52 Lacrosse 1,680 1,689 112 Soccer 11,212 11,274 623 Secondary Market Sport 2015 2020 2015 Teams Baseball 8,052 8,114 322 Football 3,804 3,833 95 Lacrosse 3,099 3,123 207 Soccer 20,687 20,847 1,149 Tertiary Market Sport 2015 2020 2015 Teams Baseball 99,071 101,239 3,963 Football 46,800 47,824 1,170 Lacrosse 38,129 38,964 2,542 Soccer 254,537 260,107 14,141 Total Market Sport 2015 2020 2015 Teams Baseball 111,486 113,741 4,459 Football 52,665 53,730 1,317 Lacrosse 42,908 43,776 2,861 Soccer 286,436 292,229 15,913 Total Avid Players&Teams 493,496 503,477 24,550 Source:ESRI BIS forecasts for 2015 and 2020,NSGA,MFA • The combined market potential of avid participants 7 to 14 years of age is roughly 500,000 or translated into 24,550 teams. • Assuming a conservative market capture rate of 3% for the proposed facility in Cortlandville that would result in about 740 teams of avid participants Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 39 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Comparable Benchmark Sport Complex Facilities The goal of this project is to create a state-of-the-art outdoor sports complex that can compete with the premier regional (shown in the table below) sports centers. Those benchmark facilities can be used as templates for the new facility in terms of amenities, accessibility and to a lesser extent pricing. Table 49.Benchmark Facilities Summary Facility Name Location Ownership Fields/Size Leagues Maryland Soccer 18031 Central Park Public Private 19 Full-size Soccer Fields Youth Lacrosse, Plex&Discovery Cir,Boyds,MD Partnership: 3 synthetic turf soccer fields Youth Soccer,and Sports Center 20841 Maryland Soccer 5 softball/baseball fields Men and Coed Foundation and 66,000 sq.ft.indoor facility Adult Soccer the MNCPPC New England 333 SW Cutoff, Private:New 30-Acre Complex Used mostly for Baseball Complex Northborough,MA England Baseball 3 synthetic turf baseball tournaments and 01532 Enterprises diamonds:can be converted into rentals soccer/lacrosse/field hockey fields The Dome: 326 Sherman Ave, N/A 9-acres of outdoor baseball High school and Adirondack Sports Queensbury,NY diamonds(3)and convertible adult soccer, Adult Complex 12804 grass soccer fields(4),98,000 sq. Slow-pitch softball ft.indoor space In The Net 798 Airport Rd, Private ownership: Two sets of outdoor set ups:6 Lacrosse,Baseball, Palmyra,PA 17078 Harold Weaver baseball fields(One turf)and a Softball,Field turf soccer field,Or 4 grass soccer Hockey,Flag fields,one turf baseball,one turf Football soccer,Indoor sports facility United Sports 1426 Marshallton Private 60-Acres Outdoor Sports Complex Youth Flag Thorndale Rd, 11 fields,two that are artificial Football,Youth and Downingtown,PA turf,127,000 sq.ft.indoor facility Adult Field Hockey, 19335 Adult Men Lacrosse, Baseball Heaven 350 Sills Rd, Private:Steel 30-acre Complex Spring and Summer Yaphank,NY 11980 Sports 4 full-size ball fields and 3 little baseball league sized ball fields(each field has artificial turf,dugouts, bullpens,and P.A.systems and scoreboards Pinnacle Athletic 748 Phillips Rd Private:Pinnacle Indoor Only Winter and Spring Center Victor,NY 14564 Athletic Campus 40X70 field,105X70 full field indoor baseball house,batting cages, (12U),Youth basketball/volleyball court,and Lacrosse fitness center Source:Individual Facilities On the pages that follow are descriptions of these facilities, along with pricing information when made available. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 40 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 50.Benchmark Facilities Summary-continued Facility Name Tournaments Amenities Seasonality Other Maryland Soccer U9-U16: Seating for up to The three artificial 650,000 visitors a year SoccerPlex& 12 to 15 4,000 Restroom turf fields are year Discovery Sports Lacrosse:2 to 5 per facilities,press box round Center year Splash park playground,Picnic area, New England Baseball(13U-19U)-33 Concession facility Late February Home of the New England Baseball Complex Lacrosse and common area through Fall Ruffnecks. Sponsorship Deals with Apparel Company and scouting firm The Dome: Adult slow pitch Full service May-September for Dome is host to Karate classes Adirondack Sports softball, restaurant in the outdoor fields and can be used as event/expo Complex Softball 10U-23U: dome space 16-20 In The Net Baseball(9U-19U):37 Team room Year round indoor, Home to softball and baseball Softball:6-8 rentals,concession March-Fall for academy and The Renegades Lacrosse stand at main turf outdoor fields travel baseball and softball field,lights, teams indoors there's a Hosts over 1,000 teams a year cafe United Sports Youth and adult field Artificial turf fields Indoor year round Located on site of former hockey,Youth and have lights,main Outdoor fields: airport High school girls field can seat Leagues:April-Fall 18 Hole mini golf on site lacrosse,Adult Soccer, 1,200,a vending Adult Flag football, area.Aviators restaurant at the indoor facility Baseball Heaven Baseball(U8-U18):16 Ballpark seating, Feb-November Offers events that showcase from June through concessions,full player for college coaches November restaurant,and a picnic area.Onsite pro-shop Pinnacle Athletic Boys and Girls Mezzanine for Year Round Offers wide range of off camps, Center Lacrosse parents,café, training academies,and bathrooms,and developmental schools.Open locker rooms play also offered Plan is to expand to include outdoor fields Source:Individual Facilities On the pages that follow are descriptions of these facilities, along with pricing information, when made available. Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 41 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Maryland SoccerPlex & Discovery Sports Center Boyds, Maryland The Maryland SoccerPlex and Discovery Center welcomes more than 650,000 visitors and hosts over 5,000 league and tournament games annually. The indoor Discovery center is 66,000 square feet and consists of eight basketball/volleyball courts, two full-size turf fields, meeting and conference space, a café, and full locker rooms. The outdoors SoccerPlex consists of 19 full-size 115 x 75-yard grass soccer fields, three year round lighted synthetic turf soccer fields, and five baseball/softball diamonds. In addition to the fields, the complex also has a splash park playground and a large picnic area. The highlight of the complex is the Championship Stadium, which consists of seating for up to 4,000, a press box, box office, and full restroom facilities. The stadium is the home field for the Washington Spirit, a NWSL pro team. It has also hosted matches for the NCAA and MLS. The SoccerPlex and its 22 fields is the home to youth lacrosse leagues and youth and adult soccer leagues. In addition to the spring through fall leagues, the facility hosts between 12 and 15 major youth soccer tournaments per year and two to five lacrosse tournaments a year. These tournaments host teams from local clubs as well as clubs from across the country. Table 51.Benchmark Facilities Summary Field Rental(Outdoor fields when available) Facility/Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball Maryland SoccerPlex Artificial Turf: Artificial Turf: Artificial Turf: Artificial Turf: Artificial Turf: &Discovery Sports $160/hr., $160/hr., $160/hr.,$195/hr. $160/hr.,$195/hr. $160/hr.,$195/hr. Center $195/hr.with $195/hr.with with lights with lights with lights lights lights New England available for available for Rentals available available for rent available for rent Baseball Complex rent rent from Late Feb through Fall $100-$200/hr. The Dome: $55 for 1.5 hrs. 55 for 1.5 hrs. 55 for 1.5 hrs. $55 for 1.5 hrs. 55 for 1.5 hrs. Adirondack Sports Field Field Field Field Field Complex setup/marking: setup/marking: setup/marking: setup/marking: setup/marking: $25-$50 $25-$50 $25-$50 $25-$50 $25-$50 In The Net Lighted turf Lighted turf field Lighted turf field Lighted turf field Lighted turf field field Adjustable fields Adjustable fields Adjustable fields Adjustable fields Adjustable N/A N/A N/A N/A fields N/A United Sports not listed not listed not listed not listed not listed Baseball Heaven N/A N/A Not offered N/A N/A Pinnacle Athletic Whole Field Whole Field Whole Field Whole Field Whole Field Center house,Half house,Half field house,Half field house,Half field house,Half field field house, house,One house,One field, house,One field, house,One field, One field, field,Courts Courts Courts Courts Courts Source:Individual Facilities New England Baseball Complex Northborough, Massachusetts The 30-acre New England Baseball Complex consists of three regulation synthetic turf baseball diamonds. All three fields are fully lighted, and two of the fields can be adjusted to little league dimensions. Between the fields is a concession building and a common area, but no permanent restroom facilities. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 42 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The complex is home to the New England Ruffnecks travel baseball team, which uses the fields for practices, games, and tournaments from late February through the fall. Ruffneck players uses the fields year round, even in the winter, in exchange for working on the fields and removing snow when needed. Some added benefits for Ruffneck players are that the complex has a sponsorship deal with an apparel company as well as a deal with a college-scouting firm. Throughout the baseball season, the complex hosts up to 33 tournaments for teams throughout the northeast. Each of the three fields can also be converted into soccer/lacrosse/field hockey fields. The facility has hosted local soccer, flag football, field hockey, and lacrosse clubs for games and tournaments in the off weeks and weekends when there are no baseball games. The Dome: Adirondack Sports Complex Queensbury, New York The Adirondack Sports Complex consists of 9 acres of outdoor fields and a 98,000 square-foot climate controlled multi-use dome. The Dome has a 75,600 square-foot indoor synthetic turf field that can be converted into one regulation soccer/lacrosse/field hockey field, four indoor practice fields, two youth sized baseball/softball fields, one regulation baseball field, or a 110-yard driving range. The outside facility is comprised of four baseball/softball diamonds and four convertible grass soccer fields. These fields host a variety of youth and adult softball and soccer leagues from May until September. If the scheduling allows, outdoor games can be moved to inside the Dome during inclement weather. During the year, the complex will host between 16 to 20 girls softball tournaments. The Dome also has a full service restaurant. Table 52.Benchmark Facilities Summary Tournament Costs per team(when available) Facility/Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball Maryland SoccerPlex& $695-$950 $1,500-$5,500 N/A N/A N/A Discovery Sports Center • _ New England Baseball N/A Have hosted $825-$1,800 N/A N/A Complex Lacrosse Tournaments The Dome:Adirondack N/A Indoor only Adult softball: N/A N/A Sports Complex $225-$250 Fall& Summer youth: $475-$550 In The Net Indoor $1,250 Baseball$525- N/A N/A $875 United Sports Indoor only $575-$1,300 N/A Adult 7X7 Flag: $350-$435 $300 Baseball Heaven N/A N/A $895-$1,175 N/A N/A Pinnacle Athletic Center Offered Offered N/A N/A N/A Source:Individual Facilities In The Net Palmyra, Pennsylvania In The Net is a 25-acre indoor/outdoor sports facility connected to the larger 100-acre Flight Path Sports Park. The indoor facility has a 180' x 330' artificial turf field beneath a 75' dome structure. Outside are a regulation size multi-use artificial turf field, an artificial turf baseball diamond, and five grass baseball fields that can be converted into four multi-use fields. Both artificial turf fields have lights, allowing for night games, which is a plus during tournaments. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 43 www.mfallc-corn Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The Net Baseball and Softball Academy is connected to the indoor facility which is home to the Renegades, a travel baseball and softball team. This facility has a 55' x 75' artificial turf field that can be used as an infield, six batting cages, or four pitching mounds. A concession area is located outside the artificial turf field. More than 1,000 teams participate in more than 30 baseball tournaments, 6 to 8 softball tournaments, 3 lacrosse tournaments, and several soccer events every year at the In the Net Sports Complex. United Sports Downingtown, Pennsylvania United Sports is a 60-acre indoor/outdoor sports complex located on the site of a former airport. The 127,000 square-foot indoor facility consists of a 170' x 65' rink, two regulation turf multi-use fields, a 225' x 160' field house used for basketball and volleyball, and a 30-foot high rock-climbing wall. Outdoors, United Sports has 11 fields of varying sizes each, on average 115 yards x 70 yards. The two fields closest to the indoor facility have synthetic turf and lights for night games. The main stadium field has seating for 1,200. Outdoor leagues and tournaments for flag football, field hockey, lacrosse, and soccer run from April through the end of fall. An 18-hole miniature golf course is also located on the outdoor complex and a vending village is located near the second turf field. Table 53.Benchmark Facilities Summary League Costs per team(when available) Baseball/ Facility/Sport Soccer Lacrosse Softball Flag/Football Field Hockey Maryland SoccerPlex Adult:$880 $1,150 N/A N/A N/A &Discovery Sports U9-U17:$775 Center New England N/A N/A Home to N/A N/A Baseball Complex Ruffneck Travel team The Dome: $720-$1,440 $78-$117/player Adult slow-pitch $995(Indoor) $750(indoor) Adirondack Sports (high school, (indoor) softball:$400 Complex adult) Indoor winter leagues listed $1,416-$2,124 In The Net Leagues played Boys&Girls: Winter leagues Flag Football: Summer league in indoor facility $775 indoor $400 United Sports $75-$100/player Adult:$85- Whiffle ball Youth: Adult:$100/player $100/player (indoor) $145/player Youth$100- $110/player Baseball Heaven N/A N/A Spring and N/A N/A Summer leagues Pinnacle Athletic Adult Soccer: $200 deposit Offered N/A N/A Center $45/player Source:Individual Facilities Baseball Heaven Yaphank, New York Baseball Haven is a 30-acre complex with four full-size baseball fields and three little league fields. Each field includes below grade dugouts, connecting bullpens, warning tracks, PA systems, electronic scoreboards, spectator seating, and state-of-the-art artificial turf. Also located on the site are a concession stand, picnic area, restaurant, and a pro shop. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 44 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The complex is home to spring and summer travel baseball leagues, which begin practicing in late February. From June through November, the complex will host 16 baseball tournaments with teams from across the country playing. Pinnacle Athletic Center Victor, New York Pinnacle Athletic Center is a 135,000 sq. ft. multi-use facility located on the 94-acre Pinnacle Athletic Campus. The facility plans to expand to include four baseball fields that can convert into soccer/lacrosse fields, up to two hotels, and medical and retail space to lease. The athletic center contains one regulation turf soccer field, a small training field, two basketball courts, a separate volleyball court area, a fitness center, and meeting rooms. There is a mezzanine for parents, a café, bathrooms, and locker rooms. The facility hosts spring and winter baseball leagues that play on the full-size turf field, which can be converted into a baseball field. In addition to hosting lacrosse leagues and tournaments, the athletic center offers year round developmental schools and camps for baseball, lacrosse, soccer, and volleyball. Table 54.Benchmark Facilities Summary Training/Camps Facility/Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball Maryland SoccerPlex 8 week camp(6-16): $175 N/A Dual N/A &Discovery Sports $235Soccer/Tennis: Football/Basketb Center $345/week all:$245/2 weeks New England N/A N/A Spring N/A N/A Baseball Complex Development Camp:$400/7 weeks The Dome: Soccer Academy $91(indoor) Softball Baseball N/A 9 week camp: Adirondack Sports (indoor) youth:$42/6 $117(indoor) Complex weeks In The Net Camp:$250 N/A Academy Classes N/A $125-$200 year round United Sports Boys/Girls 9-12: Youth boys: Boys/Girls:$295 Boys/Girls 5-12: Girls:$295 $295 $110 $295 One Day NFL clinic:$60 Baseball Heaven N/A N/A Steel Sports N/A N/A Academy: $295/week Private Lessons available Pinnacle Athletic $280 $229 $99-$350 Camps $65-$75 N/A Center and Clinics Source:Individual Facilities Conclusion On a regional scale, the sports complexes profiled here have done well. Specific aspects of each of these complexes could be applied to the proposed outdoor sports center's plan. With the potential Cortlandville complex consisting of six synthetic turf fields and six grass fields, visiting teams will feel confident in the field conditions, thus ensuring an efficiently run tournament where each team will play its tournament pool. The regional locations profiled in this section are where the avid baseball, soccer, football, and lacrosse player go to compete. These complexes host teams from throughout the Mid-Atlantic and New England regions and also attract NCAA tournaments. This is important to note because local team sports facilities Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 45 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa do not generally factor into these large regional markets. While local complexes suffer from inadequate facilities and compete for local teams, the inter-regional complexes draw from a much larger market. Local markets try to parlay their tournaments into fun-filled family activities to attract local sports competition events; the inter-regional market's venues attract the best in competition, which, in turn, ensures the best overall tournament play. The elite tournament play also makes it attractive to sponsors. The concept for the proposed outdoor sports complex is to strive to serve these inter-regional markets and create economic activity and growth for both Cortland and Cortland County. Ideally, this facility will also provide an activity venue for the local population, enhancing the quality of local life by doing so. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 46 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Existing Local Competitive Sport Complexes The following tables and write-ups summarize existing local sport complexes. Most facilities offer both an indoor and an outdoor aspect, a few have outdoor artificial turf fields but none have the capacity that is needed to accommodate larger tournaments. Table 55.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities Facility Name Location Ownership Fields/Size J.M.McDonald 4292 Fairgrounds Dr. Non-profit 210'x110'turf field,110'x50'boarded turf field Sports Complex Cortland,NY 13045 Suit-Kote Arena(ice hockey and field hockey) State University 1 Folmer Dr. 2 artificial turf stadium fields,baseball diamond,softball New York Cortland Cortland,NY 13045 University diamond, 3 soccer fields(2 grass 1 artificial turf),Field house,ice arena,and gymnasium Crown City Little 1416 Starr Rd. City of 2 regulation little league fields,1 regulation soccer field, League(Testa Park) Cortland,NY 13045 Cortland 1 multi-purpose baseball/softball field Ultimate Goal 3800 Lee-Mulroy Rd. Private Two boarded indoor regulation multi-use turf fields Family Sport Center Marcellus,NY 13108 Champions For Life 453 Grant Avenue Rd. 50,000 sq.ft.indoor sports complex,3 indoor tennis Sports Center Auburn,NY 13021 Non-profit courts One large indoor arena 10,000 sq.ft.gymnastics arena Carmelo K Anthony 1075 Comstock Ave Syracuse Center Syracuse,NY 13210 University 54,000 sq.ft featuring two full sized basketball courts Central New York 72011ones Rd. Two indoor multi-use turf fields with boards Seven Family Sport Center Syracuse,NY 13209 Private outdoor grass fields ranging in size from 35 yd.x 25 yd. to 110 yd.x 70 yd. Syracuse Indoor 4989 Hopkins Rd. Private Two regulation indoor turf fields Sports Center Liverpool,NY 13088 6841 Collamer Rd. 70,000 sq.ft.multi-sport training facility.Full Turf field Sport Center 481 East Syracuse,NY Private measures 100'x 240'Smaller turf field.Basketball court, 13057 Batting Cages One full-size outdoor grass field Comprised of three geocentric domes,3,200 seat ice Murray Athletic 170 Huck Finn Rd. hockey arena,2,000 seat gymnasium and a 38,000 sq.ft. Center Pine Valley,NY 14845 Elmira College field house that has 4 indoor tennis courts and 6 squash courts.Outside there is a grass field hockey field and a lighted soccer field Hopkins Road 4821 Hopkins Rd. Onondaga 5 tournament quality softball fields(two have lights)and Softball Park Liverpool,NY 13088 County Parks one fenced in baseball field 600 Roby Ave. 22-acre park,two baseball/softball fields currently Willis Carrier Township of complete,two artificial turf multi-use fields in Recreation Center East Syracuse,NY DeWitt development,up to 8 additional baseball fields, 13057 basketball and tennis courts Source:Individual Facilities Some complexes in the table above offer additional sports not initially targeted by the subject facility, some only offer one or two sports of the sports that will be available at the proposed venue. Also included, to complete the local market picture, are some non-competitive and college/university facilities with limited access. Although these facilities do not compete with the benchmark facilities in the previous section, this review gives the proposed facility a good idea of its local competitors, which it may face in its initial years of operations. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 47 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 56.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-continued Facility Name Leagues Tournaments Amenities J.M.McDonald Adult and youth flag football, Youth ice hockey, Concessions,Dining area,875 bleacher Sports Complex adult soccer,ice hockey,roller dodgeball,roller seating for arena,200 seating for large derby derby turf field State University Sports facilities are primarily used by the university sports programs and are usually not for rent New York Cortland Crown City Little 9U,11U,and 14U summer and 10u and 12u Baseball League(Testa Park) fall Baseball leagues,CCYSA once a year Concession stand,restroom facilities youth soccer leagues Ultimate Goal Adult and youth soccer,youth Seating areas on second floor above the Family Sport Center and high school lacrosse Soccer,Lacrosse fields,restaurant Tennis,Soccer and Men's and women's locker rooms,two Champions For Life Soccer,Tennis Lacrosse at Evert elevated viewing areas,24-hour fitness Sports Center Park center Carmelo K Anthony Men's and women's locker rooms, Center coaching suites,athletic training suite, and equipment room Outdoor and Indoor youth and Indoor and outdoor Inside:seating for 320,men's and Central New York adult soccer,Indoor youth soccer,indoor women's locker rooms,restrooms and Family Sport Center lacrosse,flag football lacrosse and indoor 1,800 sq.ft.event room,concession flag football Outdoors:Picnic area and Kickwall Syracuse Indoor Youth and adult soccer,high Youth and high Sports Center school field hockey school Soccer restrooms,restaurant Sport Center 481 Youth and Adult soccer,Youth Tournaments offered Full weight room just outside the field lacrosse for any indoor sports area, Murray Athletic Contains a media room and smart class room for film sessions. Center weight room also in facility Hopkins Road Travel baseball and softball Softball Park teams U14-U23,adult slow pitch Baseball and softball Full concession stand and bathrooms softball Willis Carrier Special needs baseball none as of now Restrooms,playground,concessions, Recreation Center and a picnic pavilion Source:Individual Facilities Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 48 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 57.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-continued Facility Name Seasonality Other Year Round YMCA gymnastic program offered,Roller Derby J.M.McDonald Sports Complex Ice Rink:Aug-March without ice:April Aug Leagues,Dodgeball Tournament State University New York Year Round Cortland Crown City Little League(Testa Park) Spring-Fall Walking trial around the fields Ultimate Goal Family Sport Year Round Fitness classes offered Center Champions For Life Sports Center Year Round Open gym time available for$5.00 a person. Tennis leagues tournaments and clinics offered Carmelo K Anthony Center Year Round 19 million dollar facility Central New York Family Sport Year Round Indoor, Pickup soccer$5/person on Monday nights Center Spring-Fall Outdoor home to the PARISI speed school Syracuse Indoor Sports Center Year Round Flight Room Fitness Center on site "In Season"Oct-April Sport Center 481 "Off Season" May Oct Pickup Soccer$5/person on Wednesday nights (reduced rental rates) indoor and outdoor Murray Athletic Center Year Round Indoor Ice arena is available for open skate during the Spring-Fall Outdoor weekends Hopkins Road Softball Park Spring-Fall Home to Homerun Softball&Baseball organization Willis Carrier Recreation Center Spring-Fall Home to the Syracuse Challenger Baseball league. Location still in development Source:Individual Facilities J.M. McDonald Sports Complex 4292 Fairgrounds Dr., Cortland, NY 13045 The J.M. McDonald Sports Complex is an indoor sports and recreation center that contains one large turf field, one small-boarded turf field, and a full-size rink. The rink is an ice rink from August through March and is ice free from April through August. There is a concession stand with a dining area for up to 75, spectator seating for 875 on the ice/roller rink, and seating for 200 on the large turf field. Ice Hockey teams use the ice rink for tournaments and league games. During the non-ice season, the rink is used for roller derby and field hockey teams. The turf fields host youth and adult flag football leagues, adult soccer leagues, and dodge ball tournaments. For $6, a person the complex also offers nightly pickup games for field hockey, floor hockey, lacrosse, and soccer. In addition to being used for athletics, both the large turf field and the rink, when it is ice-free, can be transformed into concert venues. The turf field can seat up to 2,274 and the rink has a capacity of 1,625 floor seats and 875 bleacher seats. SUNY Cortland Athletic Fields 1 Folmer Dr., Cortland, NY 13045 The SUNY Cortland athletic program has a large sports complex that is home to its athletic teams. The stadium complex features two artificial turf fields with lights that have seating for 6,500 and 1,500. These fields are home to the school's football, men's and women's lacrosse, field hockey, and track and field teams. The baseball field has seating for 600, and the softball field has seating for 400. The three Jet's Fields host the men's and women's soccer teams and acts as the NY Jets professional football team training camp location. In addition, SUNY's indoor facilities include a gymnasium, hockey arena, pool, and field house for indoor track and field. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 49 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Crown City Little League(Testa Park) 1416 Starr Rd., Cortland, NY 13045 Testa Park is home to the Crown City Little League and consists of two regulation little league baseball fields, one multi-purpose baseball/softball field, and a regulation soccer field. The park has a concession stand, restroom facilities, and a walking trial. It is home to 9U, 11U, and 14U summer and fall baseball leagues and hosts a baseball tournament once a year for 10U and 12U age divisions. The soccer field is one of many fields in the area that host CCYSA youth soccer league games. Table 58.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-Field Rental(when available) Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball Large field: Large field: Large field: J.M.McDonald Sports $140/hr. $140/hr. Batting cages: $140/hr. Ice Hockey: Complex Small field: Small field: $30/hr. Small field: $195/hr. $67/hr. $67/hr. $67/hr. State University New Sports facilities are primarily used by the university sports programs and are usually not for rent York Cortland Crown City Little League not listed N/A not listed N/A N/A (Testa Park) Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center $150/hr. $150/hr. $150/hr. $150/hr. $150/hr. Champions For Life Tennis: Sports Center available available N/A $40/1.5hrs available Indoor field: Indoor field: Indoor field: Indoor field: Indoor field: Central NY Family Sport $165/hr. $165/hr. $165/hr. $165/hr. $165/hr. Center Outdoor field: Outdoor field: Outdoor field: Outdoor field: Outdoor field: $55-$65 $55-$65 $55-$65 $55-$65 $55-$65 Syracuse Indoor Sports Center available available N/A available available Large Field: Large Field: Large Field: Sport Center 481 $200/hr. $200/hr. $200/hr. N/A N/A Small Field: Small Field: Small Field: $125/hr. $125/hr. $125/hr. Public Skate: Murray Athletic Center N/A N/A N/A N/A $3.00 plus skate rental Softball fields: $75/hr.or $125/hr.with Hopkins Road softball N/A N/A lights Baseball N/A N/A Park field: $125/game Whole complex: $1,800/day Willis Carrier Recreation facility not facility not facility not facility not facility not Center complete complete complete complete complete Source:Individual Facilities Pricing not available for the Carmelo K Anthony Center. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 50 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center 3800 Lee-Mulroy Rd, Marcellus, NY 13108 The Ultimate Goal Family Sports Center is a multi-use sports and recreation facility comprised of two large-boarded turf fields. In addition to the fields, the facility has a restaurant, second level seating for parents, and a fitness room that is currently run with COAST Physical Therapy. The facility runs youth and adult soccer and high school lacrosse leagues as well as tournaments throughout the year. The fields can also host games and leagues for football, softball, ultimate Frisbee, whiffle ball, dodgeball, and volleyball. Champions For Life Sports Center 453 Grant Avenue Rd, Auburn, NY 13021 The Champions for Life Sports Park is a 50,000 square-foot multi-sport complex that consists of three indoor tennis courts, a 10,000 square-foot gymnastics area, one large multi-sport turf field, and a 24-hour fitness center. The facility has two elevated viewing areas and men's and women's locker rooms. The sports center hosts gymnastic competitions, tennis leagues and tournaments, two youth soccer leagues, and offers open play for$5 a person when the field is not being used. Champions for Life Sports Park is associated with the 160-acre Everest Park in Auburn, NY. The park has five full-size athletic fields that are only open to members and guests of Champions for Life. It is also used to host soccer and lacrosse leagues and tournaments form spring through the fall. Table 59.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-Tournament Costs per team(when available) Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball J.M.McDonald Sports N/A N/A N/A N/A Ice Hockey: Complex Available State University New Sports facilities are primarily used by the university sports programs and are usually not for rent York Cortland Crown City Little League N/A N/A available N/A N/A (Testa Park) _ Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center $235 not listed N/A N/A N/A Champions For Life At Everest Park At Everest Park N/A N/A N/A Sports Center only:$350 only:$400 Central NY Family Sport $225-325 Center (outdoor) $250-$650 N/A $250(indoor) N/A $175(indoor) Syracuse Indoor Sports Center $250 N/A N/A N/A N/A Sport Center 481 offered offered N/A _ N/A _ N/A Hopkins Road softball N/A N/A $300-$550 N/A N/A Park Willis Carrier Recreation Free for players: Center facility not at full build-out Relies on facility not at full build-out donations Source:Individual Facilities Pricing not available for the Murray Athletic Center and the Carmelo K Anthony Center. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 51 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Carmelo K Anthony Center 1075 Comstock Ave, Syracuse, NY 13210 The Carmelo K Anthony Center is a 54,000 sq. ft. basketball training facility for the University of Syracuse. Attached to the Manley Field House, the center features two full-size practice basketball courts. The Center also contains full men's and women's locker rooms film rooms, fitness room, hydro- therapy room, and coaching suites. It is mentioned here because it is in the market area but it does not provide facilities for the sports that are part of the proposed venue. Syracuse Indoor Sports Center 4989 Hopkins Rd, Liverpool, NY 13088 The Syracuse Indoor Sports Center contains two regulation multi-use turf fields, restroom facilities, and a restaurant. The facility is currently under renovations to add a speed and agility room, an expanded lobby, a meeting room, and an additional field. Currently the center hosts leagues and tournaments for youth and adult soccer and high school field hockey. Though they currently do not run any lacrosse leagues, the center has rented the fields out to local high school, college, and club teams for games. Table 60.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-League Costs per team(when available) Baseball/ Sport Soccer Lacrosse Softball Flag/Football Field Hockey $600/team Ice Hockey: J.M.McDonald Sports $6/person Available Complex $6/person pickup games N/A $60/person Field Hockey:$6 pickup games pickup games State University New Sports facilities are primarily used by the university sports programs and are usually not for rent York Cortland Crown City Little League offered N/A $50-$65/person N/A N/A (Testa Park) Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center $325-$950 $400-$820 N/A N/A N/A Champions For Life Sports Center $650 Everest Park N/A N/A N/A Central NY Family Sport not currently not currently Center $750 $850-$950 N/A offered offered not currently Syracuse Indoor Sports offered but not currently Center $550-$950 rents to other N/A offered $895 leagues Sport Center 481 available $1,300-$1,400 N/A N/A N/A Hopkins Road softball N/A N/A Slow Pitch:$400 N/A N/A Park Fast Pitch:$650 Willis Carrier Recreation facility not at full build-out Center Source:Individual Facilities Pricing not available for the Murray Athletic Center and the Carmelo K Anthony Center. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 52 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Central NY Family Sport Center 7201 Jones Rd, Syracuse, NY 13209 The Central New York Family Sports Center is an indoor/outdoor multi-use sports complex. The indoor complex includes two 185' x 85' sport turf boarded fields, bleacher seating for 320, men's and women's changing rooms, restrooms, a banquet room, concessions, and an 1,800 sq. ft. event room. The outdoor facility contains a total of seven outdoor fields ranging in size from 330' x 210' to 105' x 75'. There is also a picnic area and an outdoor kick wall. The indoor facility features soccer, lacrosse, flag football leagues and tournaments and the outdoor fields host soccer leagues and tournaments. In addition to leagues and tournaments, the Center hosts $5 soccer pickup games on Monday nights and is the home to the PARISI speed training school. Table 61.Selected Local Outdoor Sports Facilities-Training/Camps(when available) Sport Soccer Lacrosse Baseball/ Flag/Football Field Hockey Softball J.M.McDonald Sports Ice Hockey: Complex $32/day $35/day N/A N/A $55-$225/week State University New Sports facilities are primarily used by the university sports programs and are usually not for rent York Cortland Crown City Little League (Testa Park) $70/week N/A $80/week N/A N/A Ultimate Goal Family Sport Center $50-$145 $45-$80 N/A N/A N/A Champions For Life $90 $25(Everest N/A N/A N/A Sports Center Park) _ Central NY Family Sport Center $95 available available available N/A Syracuse Indoor Sports $90-$95 N/A N/A N/A N/A Center Baseball Sport Center 481 $90-$105 $120 academy:$550- N/A N/A $1,500 Hopkins Road softball N/A N/A $40-$55/hr. N/A N/A Park Willis Carrier Recreation Center facility not at full build-out Source:Individual Facilities Hopkins Road Softball Park 4821 Hopkins Rd. Liverpool, NY 13088 Hopkins Road Park consists of five tournament quality softball fields, two of which have lights, and a fenced baseball field. The location has a full concession stand and restroom facilities. The park is home to U14-U23 travel baseball and softball teams and there are summer and fall leagues for men, women, coed, and senior rec teams from April through early November. The park hosts regional and national fast pitch and slow pitch tournaments. Willis Carrier Recreation Center 600 Roby Ave. East Syracuse, NY 13057 Willis Carrier Recreation Center (River Park) is a 22-acre park that has two baseball/softball fields. The fields that opened in May of 2016 are home to the Syracuse Challenger Baseball league. The league offers people of all ages with various special needs, physical handicaps, and developmental delays a chance to play baseball. The league, which relies on donations to operate, is free to all who wish to play. Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 53 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa The second phase of the complex, which is in development, will include two turf fields that will be full handicap accessible for soccer, lacrosse, and football. There will also be 10 little league fields added along with courts for basketball, volleyball, and tennis. l � s I v-• II . ,. -.. .er, ., ep F V .' ' in cc nia ,i:wdYs`[ � a 1, _� * ) :i:• r,,11 ' 4 waww:w • ,lY _. I 1s / f c v a .' .. .rr.wu. li r 1.0_y ,1 � �... 6 ,KO.. SI r - �F .. x ' six' , jjA y mru.w A ,,,,.`]J11yy��tt y I. s " eec. • - A. � 1 S ►www I T y A i '" A 1 f ri p ' T" xena"° x. rfltA r S �� I #. , ,r � _ l' lir- ... .. RER PWK-ArluE In.ute.felf, ____ 1� / kin Sport Center 481 6841 Collamer Rd. East Syracuse, NY 13057 The Sport Center 481 is a 70,000 sq. ft. multi-sport indoor training center and one full-size outdoor grass field. The indoor facility contains a 240' x 100' turf field, a smaller turf field, a basketball court, and batting cages. There is also full weight lifting equipment located just outside the main turf field. The facility is home to youth and adult soccer leagues and youth lacrosse leagues. The fields are also rented out for soccer and lacrosse tournaments. The Sports Zone Baseball and Softball Academy uses the fields for training and camps. Pick up soccer games for $5 a person are available on both the indoor and outdoor fields on Wednesday nights. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 54 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Murray Athletic Center 170 Huck Finn Rd. Pine Valley, NY 14845 The Murray Athletic Center is the off campus home to Elmira College athletic program. The facility is comprised of three geocentric domes, which feature a 3,200-seat ice arena, a 2,000-seat gymnasium and 38,000 sq. ft. field house. The field house includes four indoor tennis courts, six squash courts, and two playing fields. The domes also include medic rooms, study rooms, film rooms, and weight room facilities. Outside the facility, there is a grass field hockey field and a full-size lighted grass practice field. Conclusions After conducting research on youth participation, tournaments and local existing facilities, MFA believes that there is sufficient market demand for the proposed outdoor sports complex to successfully operate. • Sports participation—especially among the avid players—is strong in all three market areas. • While the local competition has strengths in providing year round indoor space, they still lack the capacity to host a higher number and larger tournaments implying that current demand for league &tournament play as well as practice &training cannot be met. • The play surfaces and overall amenities of the existing competitive facilities would not be of the same quality as the proposed facility, with the exception of the Willis Carrier Recreation Center. However, that facility will still have a lower capacity at full build-out than the proposed sports center in Cortlandville. • Available target markets such college tournaments and showcase/exhibition events can be attracted by offering a longer season because of the consistent field conditions, a large number of fields at one site and SUNY Cortland's reputation for a premier sport program among high school players and their parents who aspire to college athletic scholarships. • The proposed sports center will also provide a venue for sectional, regional and statewide New York State Public High School Athletic Association (NYSPHSAA) tournaments and championships. NYSPHSAA holds championships for more than 30 different sports, including boys & girls' soccer, boys &girls' lacrosse, girls' softball, baseball and football. Cortland is part of Section III (see map in appendix) Central, New York. Beside the statewide championships, each section holds a sectional championship tournament in each sport and class (classes are defined by school enrollment size). The sectional champions then meet first in regional competition, then in state competition, to determine the state champion in each class. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 55 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Financials Following are the operating assumptions for the Pro forma. In general Year three (3) is considered the year of stabilized operations for a new facility. Year 3 Assumptions Annual tournaments: 10 • Organized by Cortland Regional Sports Council/town of Cortlandville: two (2), one (1) soccer and one (1) lacrosse, revenue will be tournament entry fee for each team • Organized by "out-of-town" providers: eight (8), three (3) soccer, two (2) lacrosse and three (3) baseball tournaments, revenue is field rent by organizing entity. Annual Field Rentals: 3,006 hours • Local2,254 • Non—Local: 752 Rental Fee per Hour • Artificial Turf$148—Discounted for Local $37 • Grass $65—Discounted for Local $16 Energy Expenses Energy cost per square foot $1.5 Facility Square Feet(Structures) 15,000 sq. ft. Subtotal $22,500 Outdoor Lighting Cost Per Field $5,000 Number of Fields 12 Subtotal $60,000 Maintenance Expenses Janitorial Cost per square foot: $0.30 Annual Janitorial Cost $4,500 Annual Field Maintenance: $150,000 Replacement Reserve: 5%of Total Annual Revenue Hourly Staff Wage(loaded) $12 Average people on duty when outdoor complex open 7.5 Days outdoor complex open 228 Hours open/day 13.5 Open Hours 3,139 Expenses $282,510 Total Operating Hours 5,265 Medical Staff(1)Wage $25 Medical Expenses $78,475 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 56 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 62.Key Revenue Assumptions Indicator/Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Tournament Assumptions Tournaments 5 7 10 10 12 Total Number of Teams 387 522 618 618 753 Number of overnight visiting teams 129 174 206 206 251 Total Projected Players 6,750 9,390 11,430 11,430 14,070 Projected number of overnight visiting players 2,250 3,130 3,810 3,810 4,690 Coaches and team related staff per team 3 _ 3 _ 3 3 3 Total estimated coaches and team related staff 1,161 1,566 1,854 1,854 2,259 Projected overnight visiting coaches and team related staff 387 522 618 618 753 Friends and family per player 2 2 2 2 2 Total Friends and family per player 13,500 18,780 22,860 22,860 28,140 Projected Overnight friends and family 4,500 6,260 7,620 7,620 9,380 Total Tournament On-Site Visitation (Players, Staff, Family) 21,411 29,736 36,144 36,144 44,469 Typical Tournament Days(Length) 2 2 2 2 2 Tournament Visitor On-Site Concessions Per Cap $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 Total Tournament On-Site Concessions Sales $428,220 $594,720 1 $722,880 $722,880 $889,380 Field Rentals Tournament Field Rental Revenue $72,000 $93,600 $122,400 $122,400 $144,000 Discounted Rental Fee-Local Users Cortland County Grass $16 $16 $16 $16 $16 Discounted Rental Fee-Local Users Cortland County Grass Revenue $11,505 $13,406 $16,088 $16,575 $16,965 Discounted Rental Fee-Local Users Cortland $37 $37 $37 $37 $37 County Turf Discounted Rental Fee-Local Users Cortland County Turf Revenue $32,634 $37,944 $46,628 $49,726 $51,828 Rental Fee-Non-Local Users Cortland County Grass $65 $65 $65 $65 $65 Rental Fee-Non-Local Users Cortland County Grass Revenue $15,340 $17,875 $21,450 $22,100 $22,620 Rental Fee-Non-Local Users Cortland County $148 $148 $148 $148 $148 Turf Rental Fee-Non-Local Users Cortland County Turf Revenue $43,513 $50,593 $62,171 $66,301 $69,104 Field Rental Hours Local 1,593 1,854 2,255 2,369 2,450 Field Rental Hours Non-Local 531 618 752 790 817 Projected Revenue Local Field Rental $44,139 $51,351 $62,716 $66,301 $68,793 Projected Revenue Non-Local Field Rental $58,853 $68,468 $83,621 $88,401 $91,724 Total Non-Tournament Field Rental Revenue $102,992 $119,818 $146,337 $154,702 $160,517 Sources:Similar Projects and MFA Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 57 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 63.Summary Key Revenue Assumptions Indicator/Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Key Revenue Findings Tournament Revenue $72,000 $93,600 $122,400 $122,400 $144,000 Total Tournament On-Site Concessions Sales $428,220 $594,720 $722,880 $722,880 $889,380 Total Field Rental Revenue $102,992 $119,818 $146,337 $146,337 $146,337 Total Revenue $603,212 $808,138 $991,617 $991,617 $1,179,717 Sources:Similar Projects and MFA Financial Pro forma Table 64.Operating Pro forma Cortland Outdoor Sports Complex Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenue Facility Revenue $174,992 $808,138 $991,617 $999,982 $1,006,055 Concession&Vending $428,220 $594,720 $722,880 $722,880 $722,880 Sponsorships&Advertising $25,000 $30,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 Total Revenues $628,212 $1,432,858 $1,764,497 $1,772,862 $1,778,935 Expenses Concession COGS $214,110 $297,360 $361,440 $361,440 $361,440 Sponsorship Implementation $2,500 $3,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 Hourly Labor(including medical) $360,985 $360,985 $360,985 $360,985 $360,985 Office Expense&Supplies $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 Marketing Expenses $120,000 $110,000 $100,000 $90,000 $90,000 Repairs and Maintenance $35,000 $35,000 $35,000 $45,000 $45,000 Maintenance Contracts $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 HVAC Contracts $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 Building Supplies $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 Janitorial Expense $4,500 $4,500 $4,500 $4,500 $4,500 Outdoor Field Maintenance $150,000 $150,000 $175,000 $175,000 $175,000 Misc. $10,000 $12,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 Energy(including outdoor lighting) $82,500 $82,500 $82,500 $82,500 $82,500 Snow Removal Expenses $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 Legal Expenses $10,000 $12,500 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 Accounting Expenses $10,000 $12,500 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 Replacement Reserve 5%of Total Revenue $31,411 $71,643 $88,225 $88,643 $88,947 Real Estate Taxes No Assumption Municipal Licenses and Fees No Assumption Property Insurance No Assumption Business Insurance No Assumption Total Expenses $1,098,006 $1,213,988 $1,314,650 $1,315,068 $1,315,372 Net Revenue Before EBITDA -$469,794 $218,870 $449,847 $457,794 $463,563 Sources:Similar Projects and MFA Note: Pre-Opening Operation Costs for each of the two years prior to facility opening/operation are expected to total approximately$125,000 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 58 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Construction Cost Estimate Table 65.12-Field Outdoor Sports Complex Basic Cost Estimate Fields Type of Field Grass Artificial Turf Number 6 6 Multiuse Soccer,Lacrosse, Football Fields 4 4 Baseball Fields 2 2 Multiuse Fields sq.ft. per field 90,000 90,000 Baseball Fields sq.ft. per Field 56,000 56,000 Total sq.ft. 472,000 472,000 Base preparation per field $175,000 $350,000 Materials per sq.ft. $3.00 $5.00 Base Preparation Total $1,050,000 $2,100,000 Materials Total $1,416,000 $2,360,000 Subtotal by Field Type $2,466,000 $4,460,000 Total Cost Fields $6,926,000 Amenities Dugouts(8) $9,000 each $72,000 Scoreboard(12) $5,000 each $60,000 Concession, Restrooms(2)each 2,500 sq.ft. $75 per sq. $375,000 Locker Rooms, Maintenance,Storage&Admin Bldg. 10,000 sq.ft. $100 per sq. $1,000,000 Bleachers(24) $4,000 each $96,000 Field Lightning(12) $65,000 each $780,000 Subtotal $2,383,000 Professional Fees(arch,eng, legal) $489,000 Total Cost Estimate $9,798,000 Sources:Suppliers,Similar Projects and MFA Does not include FF&E (furniture, fixtures &equipment) Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 59 www.mfallc_corn Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Economic and Fiscal Impact Assessment Introduction MFA analyzed the economic and fiscal impact of the construction costs, operations, and potential visitor/attendee spending of the proposed outdoor sports complex in the Town of Cortlandville, Cortland County, New York. This study uses an impact analysis model that is based on consumption or expenditure. The underlying economic rationale is that new expenditures in a region drive the demand for goods and services and lead to economic growth. The logic of the model is that any additional demand in any sector or institution triggers economic responses from other sectors and institutions through the linkages in the input-output matrix. This is often called the ripple effect, since it is similar to the cascade of waves that form when a stone is thrown into a lake. The economic and fiscal impact of any project and its surrounding community is measured by deviation in economic activity (output), and the associated changes in jobs (employment), income (wages), and related tax revenues. To generate these estimates, MFA used estimated construction costs, local tax rates, and local economic multipliers from IMPLAN, a nationally recognized software system driven by local market inputs. Methodology Regional input-output (1-0) multipliers systematically analyze economic impacts and account for inter- industry relationships within and between regions. These multipliers are unique to each industry sector and are geographically based on the economic make-up of the locality. Thus, a construction project will have a greater local impact on an area that has a concentration of construction material suppliers, whereas a change to a banking policy will have a greater impact on an area with a concentration of financial institutions. This impact analysis begins by identifying the economic activity, such as capital improvement projects, operational expenditures, expenditures on programs, or increased sales from a new initiative. Such activity is then assigned to the appropriate industry sector. The IMPLAN model includes information for 536 different industries, generally at the three or four digit Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) level — called the NAICS codes. IMPLAN multipliers are then selected based on the impact area's geography and are applied to each industry sector to calculate the indirect and induced impacts. The multipliers are an aggregation of the iterative nature of the economy. As a dollar flows through an economy, it touches various industries, some local and some non-local. The portion of a dollar spent locally turns over again. At each iteration, a portion of the economic activity spurs additional economic activity in the area, while some of the economic activity "leaks" to another area. The multipliers capture this iterative process until the whole dollar is"leaked." A large impact area (such as a state) or an economically diverse impact area may have high multipliers because a greater portion of activity required to support the change in final demand would come from within the impact area's boundaries than from, for example, a specific county or a single zip code. For a small impact area or a less diverse economy such as a single county or zip code, multipliers could be lower. Impacts on Local Economy: One-Time and Ongoing There are two principal types of impacts: one-time impacts, such as those associated with a construction project, which end when the construction is completed, and ongoing impacts, which continue annually, Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 60 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa such as those from the operation of a long-standing program, retailer, or other facility. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 61 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa For example, the addition of a new attraction, or capital improvement to Cortland would have a one-time effect during the construction and on-going annual effects due to additional revenue and changes (increases) in the operational expenditures. Selected Definitions Related to Impact Direct Impact A direct impact is the change in sales, income, and jobs in those businesses or agencies that directly receive revenues from the agency or program. For example, the economic activity of the construction company building a parking deck would be a direct impact. Indirect Impact An indirect impact is the change in sales, income, and jobs in those businesses or agencies that supply the businesses or agencies receiving direct impacts. For example, if a steel fabrication plant in the impact area produces the steel that is sold to the construction company, the economic activity at the steel fabrication plant is an indirect impact. Induced Impact Induced impact measures ripple effects of wages in the local economy. As employees are paid by the businesses and agencies directly or indirectly impacted, there is an increase in household income, which is then spent, at least in part, in the impact area. Output/Economic Activity Output represents the value of industry production (gross domestic product -- GDP). These are annual production estimates for the year of the data set and are expressed in producer prices. Employment The number of jobs supported by a project. Aggregated job estimates are presented in the context of"full- time equivalent" positions. In the disaggregated data, partial jobs may be shown and could represent increased hours or labor productivity, depending on firm-by-firm staffing decisions. Labor Income Labor income includes all forms of employment income -- both employee compensation (wages and benefits) and proprietor income. Taxes Tax revenue contribution of the development, business or project to local, state and federal units of government. The analysis assumes current tax policy. However, results can vary depending on special incentives, programs, or rebates associated with the business or project being assessed. Multiplier Effect The "multiplier effect" is used to determine the impact of each dollar entering, impacting, and eventually leaving a defined economy (i.e. "dollar turnover"). This turnover results in increased production and expenditures, employment creation and attraction, and retention of new residents, businesses and investments. The "multiplier effect" is added to the final demand, which is the estimate of the level of spending in the local economy by the private or public sector. The result of all of the above is the total economic impact -- the sum of direct, indirect, and induced impacts. The multiplier effect is usually estimated by utilizing the regional input/output model multipliers as developed by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 62 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Cortlandville, Cortland County, NY, Economic & Fiscal Impacts MFA defined the impact area as Cortland County, New York. The model assumes that all spending is local given the economic sector in which the spending occurs is present in the defined impact area, thus eliminating competition resulting in the maximum possible impact. If an economic sector is not present in the impact area, the spending for this sector"leaks" out of the impact area and has no effect there. Of the 536 economic sectors, 192 are present in Cortland County. Machinery manufacturing, education hospitals, wholesale trade and real estate represent the top five economic drivers in Cortland County. They generate roughly$687.5 million in economic activity In 2015, Cortland County had 18,746 households with a total population of 49,259. The average household income was$59,541; the median household income was $45,512 Table 66.:Top Ten Economic Sectors in Cortland County,NY by Employment Economic Economic Sector Employment Income Activity Employment and payroll of local govt,education 1,509 $124,645,700 $142,374,300 All other food and drinking places 1,129 $27,112,150 $46,054,600 Employment and payroll of local govt, non-education 929 $61,309,930 $70,096,070 Scales, balances, and miscellaneous general purpose 881 $91,134,740 $280,568,600 machinery manufacturing Hospitals 870 $48,590,000 $109,859,700 Limited-service restaurants 726 $14,113,480 $59,927,190 Real estate 644 $10,153,300 $77,228,790 Employment and payroll of state govt,education 636 $30,028,430 $34,534,910 Employment and payroll of state govt, non-education 596 $51,157,980 $58,993,960 Retail-Food and beverage stores 578 $13,534,600 $33,044,720 Source:IMPLAN,BLS Construction Impact Assessment Construction or capital improvement projects have a one-time impact; their impact ends when the projects are completed. Total capital improvement (construction) spending for this is estimated at $9.8 million (see construction cost estimate in the financials section). The estimated impacts of facility construction are shown in the following tables. These expenditures might occur over several years, but are analyzed here with the currently available 2014 impact multipliers and are shown in 2016 dollars. Table 67.:Cortland County,NY Construction Impacts Impact Type Employment Labor Income Economic Activity Direct Effect 29 $1,384,926 $3,352,000 Indirect Effect 5 $177,186 $466,094 Induced Effect 7 $233,257 $767,958 Total Effect 41 $1,795,369 $4,586,051 Source:IMPLAN,MFA,BLS,LAI Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 63 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Tax Revenues The construction in Cortlandville, NY will also produce revenues for local, state, and federal government agencies based on current taxing policy. The tax revenue estimates from those projects are as follows. Table 68.:Cortland County,NY Construction Tax Revenue Total State and Local Tax $222,882 Total Federal Tax $388,203 Source:IMPLAN,MFA, BLS Visitation/Event Attendee Impacts Visitor or event attendee impacts are "ongoing" annual impacts. To estimate the visitor impact, MFA combined annual attendance estimates from the financials section of the report, roughly 37,000, and spending per person of domestic visitors to the Finger Lakes region in New York, provided by Tourism Economics, the US Travel Association, U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, and U.S. Office of Tourism Industries. These expenditures were analyzed with the currently available 2014 impact multipliers and are shown in 2016 dollars. Table 69.:Cortland County,NY Visitation Impacts Impact Type Employment Labor Income Economic Activity Direct Effect 78 $1,711,877 $4,939,486 Indirect Effect 7 $232,094 $759,702 Induced Effect 8 $289,801 $953,783 Total Effect 93 $2,233,772 $6,652,971 Source:IMPLAN,MFA,BLS Tax Revenues The visitor/attendee spending in Cortland will also produce revenues for local, state, and federal government agencies based on current taxing policy. The tax revenue estimates are as follows. Table 70.:Cortland County,NY Visitor Tax Revenue Total State and Local Tax $712,501 Total Federal Tax $541,669 Source:IMPLAN,MFA,BLS Operations Impacts Based on the operational expense assumptions in the financial sections of this study, MFA estimated the annual operational impacts of the proposed facility. These impacts were analyzed with the currently available 2014 impact multipliers and are shown in 2016 dollars. Table 71.:Cortland County,NY Operations Impacts Impact Type Employment Labor Income Economic Activity Direct Effect 7 $151,772 $497,219 Indirect Effect 1 $27,110 $76,075 Induced Effect 1 $26,749 $88,093 Total Effect 9 $205,631 $661,387 Source:IMPLAN,MFA,BLS Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 64 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Tax Revenues Operational expenses will also produce revenues for local, state, and federal government agencies based on current taxing policy. The tax revenue estimates are as follows. Table 72.:Cortland County,NY Operations Tax Revenue Total State and Local Tax $54,751 Total Federal Tax $44,956 Source:IMPLAN,MFA,BLS Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 65 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Marketing Strategy and Funding Options Marketing Strategy At the beginning would be to create and implement a program to reach out to teams and organizations that have already been to previous events and tournaments in Cortland. Simultaneously, extending this to perspective teams and organizations with a web and social media campaign supplemented with direct mail, magazine ads and promotional stories in newspapers throughout the region (market area) will entice them to"check-out"this new facility. MFA recommends: • Developing an events-based campaign to become the most highly regarded outdoor sports center facility locally and regionally. To do this, we suggest running a major sports event program the first year the facility is open. It would emphasize inter-regional and/or state-wide college teams and high school league teams that could be part of these events The program includes showcase or exhibition tournaments that don't have full length games thus allowing for more teams to participate. The showcase tournaments do charge a higher participation fee thus enhancing the revenue stream. • This facility has the potential to be digital from the ground up. A Wi-Fi service, in addition to fully interactive website allowing teams to register for tournaments, reserve hotel rooms, plan itineraries, take pre-orders, and stay in contact with past and future participants of the events would be desirable because of its convenience and the mobile times we live in. In addition, to that, webcasting games for those who can't always be there in person and of course a steady twitter feed of happenings at the facility would round out the digital elements. Funding Options The funding can be separated into two distinct groups; public funding and private funding. • Public funding may include taxes, municipal bonds, grants, public private partnerships and special authority bonds. • Private funding may include cash donations and contributions, naming rights, concessionaire and/or restaurant rights, sponsorships, lease agreements, parking fees, advertising, fundraising and gift shops revenues. Public Funding Options Public Grants There are a couple of public grants available in NYS that can be used as development funding for sports complexes that benefit the community they are in such as: Market New York Market New York is a grant program established to strengthen tourism and attract visitors to New York State by promoting destinations, attractions and special events. Funding is available for tourism marketing initiatives, capital/construction projects and the recruitment and/or execution of meetings, conferences, conventions, festivals, athletic competitions and consumer and industry trade shows. The Market New York program and each funded proposal will work to support the long term strategic plans for economic growth as put forth by the Regional Economic Development Councils (REDCs). Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 66 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Economic Development Purposes Grants Funding is for economic development initiatives and projects that create or retain jobs, generate increased economic activity and improve the economic and social viability and vitality of local communities. Eligible applicants include for-profit businesses, not-for-profit corporations, business improvement districts, local development corporations, public benefit corporations (including industrial development agencies), economic development organizations, research and academic institutions, incubators, technology parks, municipalities, counties, regional planning councils, tourist attractions, and community facilities. Funds may be used for(Matches for the Cortlandville Sports Complex are highlighted): • Acquisition or leasing of land, buildings, machinery and/or equipment • Acquisition of existing business and/or assets • Demolition and environmental remediation • New construction, renovation or leasehold improvements • Acquisition of furniture and fixtures • Planning and feasibility studies • Site and infrastructure development • Inventory • Training • Soft costs • Working capital • Marketing and advertising Environmental Protection Fund Grant Program for Parks, Preservation and Heritage (EPF) The Parks program is for the acquisition, development and planning of parks and recreational facilities to preserve, rehabilitate or restore lands, waters or structures for park, recreation or conservation purposes and for structural assessments and/or planning for such projects. Examples of eligible projects include: playgrounds, courts, rinks, community gardens, and facilities for swimming, boating, picnicking, hunting, fishing, camping or other recreational activities. To ensure the public benefits from the investment of state funds, public access covenants will be conveyed to the state for all park development projects undertaken by not-for-profit corporations. Conservation easements will be conveyed to the state for park acquisition projects undertaken by not-for-profit corporations. Parkland acquired or improved by a municipality must remain parkland in perpetuity and is subject to the State's Parkland Alienation Law. Other Public Funding Options • Tax Increment Financing (TIF) • Municipal Bonds Tax Increment Financing (TIF) is a public financing method used as a subsidy for redevelopment, infrastructure, and other community-improvement projects. However, this funding option is the least applicable one to the subject project. In New York State, The Municipal Redevelopment Law entitles municipalities to issue tax increment bonds that are payable from and secured by real property taxes in order to establish a TIF district. TIF districts can work in conjunction with regional strategic plans to renew distressed neighborhoods and main streets. TIF is another tool working toward local and statewide smart growth goals. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 67 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Bonds are a way for a municipality to generate money needed for the construction of a new or the renovation of a sports facility. A bond is defined as:" an interest bearing certificate issued by a government or corporation promising to pay interest and to repay a sum of money(the principal) at a specified date in the future" Bonds sold by a government are referred to as municipal bonds. The two most common type of municipal bonds are general obligation bonds and non-guaranteed bonds. Federal Community Development Block Grant(CDBG) The program by the Department of Urban Housing and Development (HUD) website, it is "a flexible program that provides communities with resources to address a wide range of unique community development needs." CDBG grants are disbursed annually. HUD determines the amount of each grant, based on a number of community-based factors like population growth and poverty. Private Funding Options The first step in developing significant private funding is to form a private fundraising organization for the money raised e.g. a booster club, a "Friends of the Cortlandville Sports Complex"," and/or a 401(c) 3 that can receive tax-exempt monies. The Booster organization can be the vehicle for fund raising, engage corporate sponsors and individual donors, raise youth sport user fees, and generate concessions sales. Private Grants Many professional sports leagues, associations and organizations offer grants to develop youth sport facilities. • National Football League • US Soccer • Major League Baseball • USA Track & Field • US Tennis Association • National Hockey League • Endowments/Foundations Municipalities can apply for grants from US Soccer, US Tennis Association (USIA), Nike Endowments and Foundations, the National Hockey League (NHL), etc. These organizations, and others, have been involved in providing funding for public projects. They provide these grants as a way to propagate their particular sport or interest. Those grants require that it is a new facility; the applicant must provide a preliminary design and be familiar with competitive grant writing. A private grant solicitation or submission has to demonstrate how the awarded grant will facilitate the propagation of the interested sport. For example: • Is there un-resourced soccer demand in your community? • If so, and if US Soccer grants funding for the project; will it result in new field inventory that will service that otherwise un-resourced demand thereby increasing interest in that sport? Sponsorship One of the more lucrative fundraising opportunities is corporate or individual sponsorship associated with naming rights of the facility. The fundraising committee should determine the municipality's policy with regard to naming rights before initiating the fundraising drive, and identify naming opportunities (field, track, scoreboard, etc.) Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 68 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Public/Private Partnership A public/private partnership strategy can be complicated because it requires contract negotiations and other legal processes, but with declined tax revenues, municipalities are becoming increasingly dependent on them. This type of partnership comes in two forms: By Use. This is the partnership frequently seen between a municipality and an institution or private non-profit organization. By reaching out to a local community with available land, but constrained funding, the two parties enter into an understanding. The Institution or private non-profit organization builds an improved/expanded facility on public land with additional capacity for the municipality that provided the land, so that that the municipality is able to use it often, pay no fees or reduced fees and is given scheduling preference. These partnerships are becoming increasingly popular and they could be a win/win for both entities to meet their need for expanded facilities of higher quality than neither could achieve on their own. By Profit. Under this scenario, a for-profit, private organization enters into an agreement with Cortland whereby they would develop an athletic or recreation facility on public land with facilitated permitting, public services, and tax incentives. They may gift a portion of the facility (e.g. a soccer or baseball field) outright and retain control of a for-profit facility, or they may operate the overall facility for profit but give the municipality use at reduced rates. There are a few complications that arise with this type of arrangement. First, Cortland as the public owner cannot simply enter into this agreement with a private entity without going through an RFP process. Secondly, in case of the study subject, part of the land has to be used to replace the public park and its facilities that have been lost in the land swap that gave Cortland control over the subject site. Thirdly, Cortland would lose much of its control over the site and facilities; however, the financial cost and operational risks of the sports facilities would be carried by the for-profit organization. Within the RFP process the municipality typically has to advertise the opportunity, define the selection criteria, review all the proposals, and come to a decision based on the best value for the community and negotiate contracts. Donor in-Kind Goods and Services The donation of in-kind goods and services is another way to help fund an athletic project. The fundraising group should identify early on the various businesses in the community that could potentially perform in-kind services for the project. For example, these businesses could include companies that provide and/or perform: • Stone, asphalt, and concrete • Earthwork and landscaping • Topsoil and seed • Site and athletic lighting • Fencing The best way to identify and approach, these companies is through networking with the Chamber of Commerce and various philanthropic groups within Cortland. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 69 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Other Private Funding Options Utility Leases Private utility companies might be willing to provide funding in return for the rights to develop private utilities on public land such as cell towers, solar power arrays, and wind power based on long-term lease contracts. Of these funding opportunities, solar power sites currently appear to be the most in demand. Professional Fundraising A professional fundraiser can assist Cortland with identifying potential corporate and individual sponsors, and develop a successful campaign. There are two types of professional fundraisers: those that work for a percentage of the funds raised and those that work for a set fee. For the Cortland Outdoor Sport Complex a combination of grant funding (public and private), the fundraising efforts of a "Booster" organization and sponsorships appears to be the best option. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 70 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Appendix National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Student &Team Participation Sports Participation A study by the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) on student and team sports participation reveals the following findings: • Championship sports were at an all-time high in 2014-15 for both male and female student- athletes, with total participation surpassing 480,000. There are now approximately 482,533 student-athletes participating in sports for which the NCAA conducts championships. • There are still more male student-athletes (56.6 percent of the total) than female student-athletes participating in championship sports. • In 2014-15, the average NCAA member institution had approximately 437 student-athletes (247 males and 190 females). • Women's outdoor track and field has more female student-athletes in the NCAA than any other women's sport. Soccer, indoor track and field, softball, volleyball, basketball and cross-country follow in that order as the sports with the next highest number of female participants. Table 73.Divisions I,II&Ill Combined Student Athlete Participation 1998-99-2014-15 Percent Change Percent Change Percent Change Year Men Men Women Women Total Total 1997-98 200,030 0.32 133,445 3.21 _ 333,475 1.46 1998-99 207,685 3.83 145,873 9.31 _ 353,558 6.02 1999-00 208,481 0.38 146,617 0.51 355,098 0.44 2000-01 214,154 2.72 155,698 6.19 369,852 4.15 2001-02 209,890 _ -1.99 153,601 -1.35 363,491 -1.72 2002-03 214,464 2.18 158,469 3.17 372,933 2.60 2003-04 214,854 0.18 160,997 1.60 375,851 0.78 2004-05 219,744 2.28 164,998 2.49 384,742 2.37 2005-06 224,926 2.36 168,583 2.17 393,509 2.28 2006-07 230,259 2.37 172,534 2.34 402,793 2.36 2007-08 236,774 _ 2.83 175,994 2.01 412,768 2.48 2008-09 240,822 1.71 180,347 2.47 421,169 2.04 2009-10 245,875 2.10 184,426 2.26 430,301 2.17 2010-11 252,946 2.88 191,131 3.64 444,077 3.20 2011-12 257,690 1.88 195,657 2.37 453,347 2.09 2012-13 262,249 1.77 200,953 2.71 463,202 2.17 2013-14 267,604 _ 2.04 205,021 2.02 472,625 2.03 2014-15 273,061 2.04 209,472 2.17 482,533 2.10 Source:National Collegiate Athletic Association(NCAA) • Both indoor and outdoor track and field have the highest number of female participants in Division I, and soccer has the highest numbers in Divisions II and III. Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 71 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa • Since 1981-82, football has had the most participants of any men's sport, and in 2014-15 that trend continues with football having more than twice as many participants as the second sport, baseball. The next highest participation levels for men are in the sports of indoor and outdoor track and field, soccer, basketball and cross country, respectively. Teams Added • In 2014-15, there were 140 men's teams added and 179 women's teams added at NCAA member institutions. • Since 1988-89, there have been 3,912 men's teams added and 5,464 women's teams added with each specific academic year having more women's teams added than men's teams. • The general trend of adding more women's than men's teams each year has continued for each division. In each division separately, with only a few exceptions, the general trend of adding more women's teams than men's teams each year continued. The following tables and graphs show and detail NCAA participation in sports with relevance to the project site over the last five years. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 72 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa Table 74.Divisions I,II&Ill Student Athlete Participation by Sports&Sex 2010-11-2014-15 Selected Sports with Relevance to the Project Division I Division II Division Ill Sport Teams Athletes Squad Size Teams Athletes Squad Size Teams Athletes Squad Size 2010-11 Participation Women's Sports Softball 283 5,633 19.9 279 5,355 19.2 407 7,200 17.7 Lacrosse 89 2,433 27.3 62 1,418 _ 22.9 206 _ 4,217 20.5 Soccer 315 8,473 26.9 242 6,003 24.8 427 10,195 23.9 Men's Sports Baseball 293 10,046 34.3 255 9,248 36.3 374 11,970 32 Football 238 26,087 109.6 168 17,921 106.7 238 23,879 100.3 Lacrosse 60 2,740 45.7 41 1,572 38.3 179 6,112 34.1 Soccer 201 5,719 28.5 190 5,357 28.2 403 11,497 28.5 2011-12 Participation Women's Sports Softball 285 5,770 20.2 _ 285 5,620 19.7 406 7,115 _ 17.5 _ Lacrosse 91 2,495 27.4 70 1,610 23 215 4,377 20.4 Soccer 317 8,511 26.8 254 6,487 25.5 425 10,166 23.9 Men's Sports Baseball 293 10,093 34.4 _ 264 9,712 36.8 370 12,194 33 Football 242 26,737 110.5 169 18,507 109.5 240 24,399 101.7 Lacrosse 61 2,791 45.8 46 1,718 37.3 188 6,394 34 Soccer 202 5,647 28 200 5,818 29.1 401 11,522 28.7 2012-13 Participation Women's Sports Softball 290 5,856 20.2 288 5,616 19.5 410 7,199 17.6 Lacrosse 100 2,784 27.8 76 1,758 23.1 240 4,979 20.7 Soccer 322 8,749 27.2 257 6,784 26.4 432 10,551 24.4 Men's Sports Baseball 297 10,160 34.2 266 9,846 37 373 _ 12,444 33.4 Football 247 27,329 110.6 167 18,287 109.5 241 24,531 101.8 Lacrosse 62 2,828 45.6 50 1,928 38.6 207 6,966 33.7 Soccer 204 5,706 28 205 6,038 29.5 406 11,621 28.6 Source:National Collegiate Athletic Association(NCAA) Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 73 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland, NY mfa Table 75.Divisions I,II&Ill Student Athlete Participation by Sports&Sex 2010-11-2014-15 Selected Sports-continued Division I Division II Division III Sport Average Average Average Teams Athletes Squad Size Teams Athletes Squad Size Teams Athletes Squad Size 2013-14 Participation Women's Sports Softball 290 5,942 20.5 293 5,710 19.5 414 7,395 17.9 Lacrosse 103 3,018 29.3 85 1,962 23.1 255 5,350 21 Soccer 325 8,843 27.2 260 6,861 26.4 437 10,654 24.4 Men's Sports Baseball 297 10,338 34.8 267 10,164 38.1 379 12,929 34.1 Football 249 27,687 111.2 169 18,530 109.6 246 25,074 101.9 Lacrosse 67 3,070 45.8 57 2,199 38.6 215 _ 7,413 34.5 Soccer 201 5,731 28.5 208 6,045 29.1 409 11,826 28.9 2014-15 Participation Women's Sports Softball 289 6,044 20.9 299 5,987 20 415 7,597 18.3 Lacrosse _ 106 3,172 29.9 94 2,157 22.9 270 5,665 21 Soccer 326 8,963 27.5 265 7,229 27.3 439 10,803 24.6 Men's Sports Baseball 295 10,396 35.2 271 10,522 38.8 385 13,280 34.5 Football 250 27,873 111.5 172 19,306 112.2 248 _ 25,609 103.3 Lacrosse 68 3,109 45.7 59 2,346 39.8 223 7,710 34.6 Soccer 200 5,738 28.7 214 6,551 30.6 413 12,188 29.5 Source:National Collegiate Athletic Association(NCAA) Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 74 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY AN'130eF1-10D'Apn;s A;!!q!sead 1a/JetAl xaldwoj hods moowp woD-p,oejw.NI M SL aSed Dli sJos!Apd Amgiseaj ;a>aeW la»os—a— assOJJel STtTOZ VT-£TOZ £T-ZIOZ ?I-FIOZ II-OIOZ 0 S OI ST ♦ `m__ • • 0Z • • • ♦ _ _.. • • ► SZ 0£ azls penbs aSeaanV s,uauaoM VVVDN ia»os-••— as90J3e1—•— lle�l4O — SI 4i0Z tT'£TOZ £I-ZIOZ ZT-ITOZ TI-OTOZ 0 000`S • • 000'0I 000'Si • • ` • • aoo`oZ -0 ' • • 000`SZ 4 000'OE SelaIyDV s,Uau.loM VV)N Ja33OS—•— assoioel ieca wS...4.... Si t+TOZ 61-£'OZ £T-ZTOZ ZT-TIOZ T1-OTOZ 0 00S ♦ • - ♦ ♦ • 000'I ♦ • • i OOS'T 0OO'Z • • ♦ • M 0OS`Z OOO'£ SW eel s,uauaoM VVDN eJw mfa NCAA Men's Teams 1,000 900 • ♦ • • 800 ♦ i ♦ ♦ 700 • • 4 • • 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 —s—Baseball —•--Football —•.Lacrosse • Soccer NCAA Men's Athletes 80,000 70,000 • - ♦ • • 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 • • • 20,000 ♦ ' ' 10,000 ♦ • • 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 —4—Baseball --Football ---•—Lacrosse • Soccer NCAA Men's Average Squad Size 120 • . • • 100 80 60 40 • 20 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 —•--Baseball —♦—Fart bail ---lacrosse • Soccer Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 76 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa New York State Public High School Athletic Association (NYSPHSAA) The NYSPHSAA is divided into eleven sections by geographical areas (counties) ot, i lir 11111% III II millip Illii ASV 1116 ip Gr., , , ,,,, 4,40 MI VI I V : Mn4 I X * . - ....110 Market& Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 77 www.mfallc.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa About Market & Feasibility Advisors Market & Feasibility Advisors (MFA) provides timely in-depth data, comprehensive analysis, and sustainable strategies for public, private, and non-profit clients. We often work with firms that provide professional services in Architecture; City and Regional Planning; Real Estate Development, Entertainment, Leisure and Recreation, Exhibit Design; Fund Raising; Landscape Architecture; Legal Services; Survey Research; Civil Engineering; Theatre Design; Museum Planning; Transportation; Education and Branding. Whether working directly for clients or as a part of multi-disciplinary team, MFA executes market, feasibility, master plan economics, and impact studies resulting in strategic planning based on realistic environments and the unique characteristics of each specific site, project, target market, and competition. • MFA's public sector work includes: downtown, corridor, neighborhood, and many types of economic development and urban redevelopment plans, as well as real estate and retail studies, transit-oriented developments (TOD), industrial and military base closures, historic districts, brownfield re-use, parks and recreational facilities, and convention and meeting facilities. • MFA's private sector work includes: mixed-use developments, housing, retail, hotel and resort, medical, and commercial entertainment, including theme parks, attractions, and waterparks. • MFA's cultural and non-profit sector clientele includes: performing arts facilities, zoos, historic structures and districts, aquariums, museums. MFA is comprised primarily of consultants who worked for the firm formerly known as ERA (Economics Research Associates) and helped grow that firm prior to its sale. Market & Feasibility Advisors has offices in Chicago and Austin. Our Chicago office is centrally located in Chicago downtown, at One South Dearborn, a LEED Silver certified building. MFA is an all-senior consultant organization. Market and Feasibility Advisors has offices in Chicago and Austin. For more information please visit our website www.mfallc.com and follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/MFALLC mfa Offices: Midwest Texas One South Dearborn 100 South Congress Suite 2100 Suite 2000 Chicago, IL 60603 Austin, TX 78701-2745 Phone: 312-212-4451 Phone: 512-469-370 Administration and Accounting P.O. Box 438940 Chicago, IL 60643 Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 78 www.mfalic.com Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY mfa General Limiting Conditions Every reasonable effort has been made to ensure that the data contained in this study reflect the most accurate and timely information possible and they are believed to be reliable. This study is based on estimates, assumptions and other information developed by Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC from its independent research effort, general knowledge of the industry, and consultations with the Client and the Client's representatives. No responsibility is assumed for inaccuracies in reporting by the Client, the Client's agent, and representatives or any other data source used in preparing or presenting this study. No warranty or representation is made by Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC that any of the project values or results contained in this study will actually be achieved. The fee Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC received for undertaking this project is in no way dependent upon the specific conclusions reached in this report. Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC has no financial interest in the project. Possession of this study does not carry with it the right of publication thereof or to use the name of "Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC" in any manner. No abstracting, excerpting, or summarization of this study may be made. This study is not to be used in conjunction with any public or private offering of securities or other similar purpose where it may be relied upon to any degree by any person other than the client. This study may not be used for purposes other than that for which it is prepared. Exceptions to these restrictions may be permitted after obtaining prior written consent from Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC. It is understood by MFA that the findings of this report are the proprietary property of the client and they will not be made available to any other organization or individual without the consent of the client. Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC understands that the client may publish this report under the agreement that Market & Feasibility Advisors LLC will be indemnified against any losses, claims, damages and liabilities under federal and state securities laws which may arise as a result of statements or omissions in public or private offerings of securities. This study is qualified in its entirety by, and should be considered in light of, these limitations, conditions and considerations. Market&Feasibility Advisors LLC Page 79 www.mfallccom Outdoor Sport Complex Market&Feasibility Study,Cortland,NY